CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. FaZe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86b2de4d12d926921cbc0a2f08f75bf1fd7f920e6481c9b6d68e14388543c3f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FaZeof The MongolZ, FaZe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b4…de82backed The MongolZ | 3c | 5,952$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed The MongolZ | 52c | 3,455$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed The MongolZ | 1c | 2,925$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed The MongolZ | 58c | 2,894$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.47 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed FaZe | 41c | 2,731$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.6 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked FaZe | 42c | 2,200$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.13 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed FaZe | 44c | 2,091$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.36 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed The MongolZ | 57c | 1,566$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.07 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed FaZe | 46c | 1,473$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.49 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed The MongolZ | 29c | 1,301$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.28 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed FaZe | 41c | 1,157$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.98 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked The MongolZ | 59c | 1,012$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked The MongolZ | 59c | 998.31$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed FaZe | 44c | 959$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.82 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked The MongolZ | 46c | 769$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.93 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed The MongolZ | 59c | 753.61$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.13 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked The MongolZ | 37c | 738.12$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.28 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed The MongolZ | 57c | 609.65$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.4 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…5b99backed FaZe | 43c | 579.07$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.07 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed FaZe | 37c | 539.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed The MongolZ | 57c | 507$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.56 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked FaZe | 43c | 492.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.45 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0c…e795backed FaZe | 43c | 386.48$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.29 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed The MongolZ | 32c | 379.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.48 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked FaZe | 70c | 377.34$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked The MongolZ | 14c | 365.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked FaZe | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7d47backed The MongolZ | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed FaZe | 27c | 336.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.92 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab5…37c4backed The MongolZ | 58c | 329$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed FaZe | 43c | 313.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.58 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1046…5fc7backed FaZe | 38c | 295.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed The MongolZ | 13c | 274.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked The MongolZ | 73c | 272.6$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed FaZe | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed FaZe | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed FaZe | 27c | 244.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…fed9backed The MongolZ | 33c | 223.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked FaZe | 41c | 203.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed The MongolZ | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…c871backed FaZe | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed The MongolZ | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed The MongolZ | 34c | 180.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed The MongolZ | 59c | 176.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed The MongolZ | 58c | 171$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FaZe | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked The MongolZ | 12c | 139.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed FaZe | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…cb54backed FaZe | 42c | 97.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…6139backed FaZe | 42c | 97.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…4344backed FaZe | 43c | 96.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed The MongolZ | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed FaZe | 45c | 90.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed FaZe | 68c | 84.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed FaZe | 42c | 78.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd276…b068backed FaZe | 42c | 67.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…88a7backed FaZe | 47c | 67.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked FaZe | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853d…f8d4backed The MongolZ | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed The MongolZ | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed FaZe | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…3f3ebacked FaZe | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed FaZe | 79c | 47.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked FaZe | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…3490backed FaZe | 35c | 43.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…b3f0backed FaZe | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fa…23f4backed The MongolZ | 59c | 39.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…d38bbacked The MongolZ | 57c | 37.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked FaZe | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed The MongolZ | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed FaZe | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…a142backed The MongolZ | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed The MongolZ | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked FaZe | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed FaZe | 43c | 27.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked FaZe | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…c566backed FaZe | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.