CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. Spirit
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fd3525aa572f0adaebbc2b41b984df7f1d13f4efe02a9c0b70e00567dfe4049
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof MOUZ, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked MOUZ | 48c | 68,716$32,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,857.34 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Spirit | 55c | 61,504$33,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,781.71 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Spirit | 53c | 13,982$7,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,571.53 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked MOUZ | 35c | 8,137$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed MOUZ | 31c | 7,847$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.37 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Spirit | 68c | 5,930$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.75 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spirit | 51c | 5,038$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.58 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…3ea3backed Spirit | 52c | 4,704$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…cc19backed Spirit | 59c | 3,246$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed MOUZ | 35c | 3,085$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…fb1bbacked Spirit | 78c | 3,011$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Spirit | 52c | 2,998$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.69 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.45 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…8169backed MOUZ | 35c | 2,666$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,285$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.65 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked MOUZ | 43c | 2,062$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.68 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,999$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.68 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Spirit | 52c | 1,999$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.52 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,935$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.61 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed Spirit | 51c | 1,810$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Spirit | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Spirit | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked MOUZ | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ | 22c | 1,378$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.48 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,338$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.16 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Spirit | 51c | 1,250$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spirit | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.46 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,110$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.66 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked MOUZ | 49c | 1,109$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.11 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…0de7backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,108$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ | 9c | 1,030$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,016$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,007$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.3 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Spirit | 68c | 901.39$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.46 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked MOUZ | 49c | 897.96$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked MOUZ | 45c | 885$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked Spirit | 47c | 866.97$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked MOUZ | 51c | 850$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed MOUZ | 40c | 825.68$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed MOUZ | 39c | 679$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.62 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed MOUZ | 39c | 641.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ | 58c | 628.95$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.79 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed MOUZ | 43c | 627.88$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed MOUZ | 57c | 601.37$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.78 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Spirit | 65c | 600.72$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.7 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked MOUZ | 24c | 600$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.89 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…67f0backed MOUZ | 52c | 578.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed MOUZ | 31c | 565.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.31 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Spirit | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed MOUZ | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Spirit | 66c | 498.01$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.32 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Spirit | 51c | 453.48$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Spirit | 43c | 406.46$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.68 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed MOUZ | 13c | 399.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…50e2backed Spirit | 52c | 338.46$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked MOUZ | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed MOUZ | 42c | 307.79$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed MOUZ | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed MOUZ | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spirit | 62c | 283.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Spirit | 69c | 281.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…562abacked Spirit | 80c | 275.88$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Spirit | 50c | 262.43$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.21 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7d…4eebbacked MOUZ | 32c | 255$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Spirit | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Spirit | 53c | 235$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.95 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Spirit | 52c | 228.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed MOUZ | 55c | 221.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed MOUZ | 47c | 214.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed MOUZ | 25c | 210$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 32c | 207.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MOUZ | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Spirit | 53c | 176.11$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed MOUZ | 44c | 173.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed MOUZ | 53c | 155.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked MOUZ | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked MOUZ | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…7120backed Spirit | 47c | 143.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Spirit | 70c | 141.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed MOUZ | 48c | 129.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed MOUZ | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Spirit | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed MOUZ | 22c | 115.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Spirit | 53c | 113.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed MOUZ | 48c | 111.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…8843backed MOUZ | 23c | 106.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Spirit | 63c | 104.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Spirit | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Spirit | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Spirit | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…e4f4backed MOUZ | 56c | 99.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed MOUZ | 44c | 97.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Spirit | 49c | 96.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ | 52c | 96.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Spirit | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed MOUZ | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Spirit | 49c | 93.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed MOUZ | 33c | 91.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.