TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf9f7…58db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT5253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Toronto – Fils vs. Carreno Bustabacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+38.3%+$55.41
ATP Toronto – McDonald vs. Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
ATP Toronto – Tiafoe vs. Watanukibacked Watanuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,906Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,906.22
ATP Toronto – Nakashima vs. Quinn backed Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$301
ATP Washington D.C – Davidovich Fokina vs. De Minaurbacked De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+100.6%+$2,206.91
ATP Washington D.C – Davidovich Fokina vs. Sheltonbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$700
ATP Umag – Taberner vs. Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$66
ATP Washington D.C – Medvedev vs. Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,044.06
ATP Washington D.C – De Minaur vs. Leheckabacked De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,636Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+51.8%+$1,364.11
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. Shevchenkobacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$29.4
ATP Washington D.C – Nakashima vs. Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.09
ATP Umag – Ruiz vs. Carabellibacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+64.1%+$156.2
ATP Washington D.C: Norrie vs. Musettibacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+56.1%+$20.17
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,263.72
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,113
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,015.42
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemundbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+113%+$1,475.1
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$53
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,082Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$1,767.5
Wimbledon: Noskova vs. Anisimova (W) backed Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$442
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Norrie backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$1,176
Wimbledon: Sierra vs. Siegemund (W)backed Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$128
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Holmgrenbacked Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-53.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$207
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+53.3%+$139
Marlins vs. Brewersbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$174
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Marlins vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.59
Rockies vs. Brewersbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$35
Padres vs. Redsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Athletics vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.2
Diamondbacks vs. White Soxbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.05
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Nationals vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
White Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.8
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+100.9%+$180.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IEM Cologne: G2 vs. FURIAbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. Spiritbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+93.4%+$48.3
IEM Cologne: Falcons vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+226.8%+$867.5
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Liquidbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$10.1
IEM Cologne: Natus Vincere vs. MOUZbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.78
IEM Cologne: GamerLegion vs. 3DMAXbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$590
IEM Cologne: Spirit vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.9
IEM Cologne: Aurora vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+40.7%+$310.75
IEM Cologne: GamerLegion vs. Virtus.probacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,345Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$374.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich beat Boca Juniors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.