Tennis · resolved market
ATP Washington D.C – Davidovich Fokina vs. De Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c3b82e67d4c4d3a1f44a0bd25fa67e4e5ba2bf6692abbc8f6583ed7e49da86e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- De Minaurof Fokina, De Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed De Minaur | 51c | 5,393$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.13 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed De Minaur | 35c | 5,249$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.71 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked De Minaur | 50c | 4,400$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.91 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fokina | 46c | 4,253$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.76 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed De Minaur | 67c | 3,711$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.09 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Fokina | 46c | 2,707$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.75 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Fokina | 36c | 1,754$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.03 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…a496backed Fokina | 34c | 1,500$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.1 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked De Minaur | 69c | 1,335$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.78 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Fokina | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Fokina | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed De Minaur | 33c | 990.67$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.66 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fokina | 38c | 926.33$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.01 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed De Minaur | 29c | 890$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.7 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Fokina | 34c | 813.85$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fokina | 61c | 787.6$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.79 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Fokina | 32c | 775.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked De Minaur | 63c | 573.07$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.42 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…1a34backed De Minaur | 66c | 570$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed De Minaur | 65c | 567.08$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.51 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed De Minaur | 59c | 511.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.92 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked De Minaur | 46c | 507.93$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked De Minaur | 27c | 460$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.9 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…f88dbacked De Minaur | 44c | 436.36$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Fokina | 33c | 394.32$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.02 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked De Minaur | 65c | 300.43$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fokina | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Fokina | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Fokina | 31c | 285$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed De Minaur | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Fokina | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed De Minaur | 69c | 170.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Fokina | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…f30dbacked De Minaur | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…bdcabacked De Minaur | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked De Minaur | 61c | 139.24$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fokina | 74c | 132.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6e…9191backed Fokina | 56c | 123.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed De Minaur | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Fokina | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed De Minaur | 65c | 87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Fokina | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Fokina | 33c | 69.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked De Minaur | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5598…0f47backed Fokina | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Fokina | 33c | 60.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Fokina | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…8a16backed Fokina | 56c | 43.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Fokina | 33c | 39.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7785…4a55backed De Minaur | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed De Minaur | 62c | 32.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed De Minaur | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.