TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5598…0f47

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$81.6
ATP Washington D.C – Davidovich Fokina vs. De Minaurbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.35
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.3
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.3
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:0 against Jannik Sinner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Mirra Andreeva win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$86
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+318.3%+$251.1
Will Lois Boisson win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Madison Keys win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Jack Draper win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.7
Will Jack Draper reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
French Open: Rybakina vs. Swiatekbacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 38% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.38
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$33.8
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$99.99
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$40.8
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.7
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.35
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+675.2%+$348.4
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$364
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-79.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will Juventus win Group G at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Internazionale win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.1
Will Borussia Dortmund win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$39.1
Will Real Madrid vs. Pachuca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will River Plate beat Monterrey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.6
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-65.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action on Yemen before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+63.4%+$20.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$33.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.