Tennis · resolved market
Will Jack Draper win the 2025 French Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fd6bcdcf5c6dbfba414af2a5fcaf9c0ecedddb0b415bd99b9af49d5811d32bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 4c | 70,866$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.61 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 3c | 51,359$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.72 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Yes | 3c | 25,005$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e9…62c3backed Yes | 4c | 12,128$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e85…1ccdbacked Yes | 2c | 7,980$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…11a8backed Yes | 4c | 6,425$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 2c | 6,324$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5598…0f47backed Yes | 2c | 5,900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 4c | 5,383$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 4c | 5,005$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,389$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 3,547$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…6a7bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,172$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…30fabacked Yes | 4c | 2,766$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 3c | 2,661$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 3c | 2,564$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 3c | 2,237$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 2,082$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 2c | 1,978$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 4c | 1,850$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 3c | 1,714$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 4c | 1,393$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 4c | 1,322$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 2c | 1,300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 4c | 1,194$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b9…8cbabacked Yes | 3c | 1,076$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 3c | 999.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…4caabacked Yes | 5c | 980.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…fb35backed Yes | 3c | 769.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 760.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…2d41backed Yes | 3c | 724.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Yes | 5c | 659.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes | 2c | 591.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a4…b30bbacked Yes | 4c | 559.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 5c | 557.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Yes | 3c | 522.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…7990backed Yes | 4c | 500.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…73dbbacked Yes | 2c | 499.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…63edbacked Yes | 4c | 477.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…3f0bbacked Yes | 5c | 472.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…6a64backed Yes | 3c | 403.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a9…5d72backed Yes | 3c | 395.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…97dabacked Yes | 4c | 365.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b39…0cd0backed Yes | 4c | 349.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…7c5abacked Yes | 4c | 279.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf116…ec03backed Yes | 4c | 244.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jack Draper win the 2025 French Open?this page
- Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Arthur Fils win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?Yes won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Jakub Mensik win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 French Open?No won
- Will Ugo Humbert win the 2025 French Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.