TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 French Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,524 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes4c60,227$2,224 inLost-$2,224.128023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick24cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes3c28,375$979 inLost-$979.461414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdc4…a880backed Yes4c8,000$300 inLost-$299.896633.3%22 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes3c6,311$188 inLost-$187.65933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c4,446$29 inLost-$29.412,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…1116backed Yes4c3,688$157 inLost-$157.162623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes7c3,577$250 inLost-$250.393429.4%10 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Yes4c3,447$131 inLost-$13160%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes3c3,084$104 inLost-$104.123324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes3c2,000$66 inLost-$65.9526039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b05…d88ebacked Yes4c1,938$69 inLost-$691145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf18…126cbacked Yes6c1,753$100 inLost-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-59.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62d…315cbacked Yes3c1,120$34 inLost-$34.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes3c1,000$26 inLost-$2618740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7d1…86bebacked Yes3c864.29$30 inLost-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes4c778$32 inLost-$32.382714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd703…fb35backed Yes3c714.89$25 inLost-$251315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-60.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes3c660.93$23 inLost-$22.973315.2%5 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x381e…2fc2backed Yes4c638.27$25 inLost-$25.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe806…2d92backed Yes3c586.41$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c2…73dbbacked Yes3c499.98$15 inLost-$151711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes3c499.98$13 inLost-$13.523152.4%121 W · 110 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes3c465.2$12 inLost-$12.4938147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e4…3b89backed Yes4c452.36$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc13b…363cbacked Yes3c377$12 inLost-$12.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae09…6a64backed Yes4c334.08$12 inLost-$12.2650%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost-$2025244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd95…a744backed Yes6c268.42$16 inLost-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes5c210$10 inLost-$10.2910622.6%24 W · 82 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.