TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 French Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$282,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,227 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes1c70,013$650 inLost-$649.758023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick24cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes1c60,401$588 inLost-$587.84185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-87.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Yes1c33,744$302 inLost-$301.9713653.7%73 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes1c17,024$100 inLost-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c7,745$59 inLost-$58.662,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c5,588$17 inLost-$17.35480%0 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x247f…ff45backed Yes1c4,211$40 inLost-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Yes1c2,986$29 inLost-$29.023016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cb7…e34cbacked Yes1c2,620$14 inLost-$14.24616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-56.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes0c2,450$12 inLost-$11.8438147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7145…89e6backed Yes1c2,429$25 inLost-$24.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes1c2,422$15 inLost-$14.5380%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1479…487cbacked Yes1c2,032$24 inLost-$24.1850%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…2d41backed Yes1c1,016$12 inLost-$1260%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e85…1ccdbacked Yes1c1,014$10 inLost-$102123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb7…7998backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost-$101233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc1…55a4backed Yes2c907.83$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.