TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,738,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,901,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,738,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 661 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x15e0…8d86backed Yes53c151,323$79,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,479.812030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes40c98,183$39,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,608.014040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes36c90,605$32,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,247.31414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes30c79,441$23,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,782.0514345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes34c74,965$25,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,640.863429.4%10 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes13c55,259$6,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,928.41333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes34c51,873$17,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,674.0113934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfc…b035backed Yes50c48,633$24,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,314.511118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-55.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No67c43,353$29,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,306.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes35c42,440$14,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,677.738023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick24cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes39c37,597$14,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,844.052714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yes47c36,304$17,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,186.7128043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc067…a108backed Yes37c34,729$12,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,849.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7d…748bbacked No63c34,729$21,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,849.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…599fbacked Yes52c32,440$16,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,868.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes66c30,014$19,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,899.231127.3%3 W · 8 L-4.5wins-0.41per pick68cpaid-61.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Yes72c29,291$21,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,016.211586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick71cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Yes64c28,559$18,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,269.62347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes53c22,512$11,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,830.8664755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Yes50c20,073$10,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,036.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No50c20,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,1003268.8%22 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6cbb…89abbacked No33c17,586$5,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,857.06580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+119.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed No61c17,016$10,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,634.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Yes66c15,856$10,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,538.582751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes56c15,052$8,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,359.771,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked No32c14,700$4,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,004955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Yes50c13,998$6,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.051225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-58.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed No42c13,518$5,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,899.263641.7%15 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes78c13,097$10,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,179.611,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdc…6125backed Yes79c12,064$9,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,535.93450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes77c12,018$9,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,248.252152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes68c11,999$8,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,132250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes47c11,129$5,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,274.721,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed No51c11,010$5,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,394.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf619…d903backed Yes79c10,826$8,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,580.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…6a9bbacked No72c10,311$7,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.311844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…2eb5backed Yes44c10,300$4,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed No50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes50c9,124$4,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,572.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc78e…c9a7backed Yes66c9,091$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes50c8,967$4,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,483.49137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No64c8,103$5,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,916.924030%12 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Yes51c8,100$4,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1311225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22e…f52cbacked Yes51c8,015$4,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,069.855525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No49c7,875$3,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,002.2116242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e4…38eabacked Yes53c7,540$4,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,033.931266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa924…9c72backed Yes70c7,103$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002737%10 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No64c6,500$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3454047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Yes47c6,422$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No67c6,390$4,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.958640.7%35 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Yes45c6,183$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.2311859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed No66c5,833$3,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.252035%7 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked No15c5,423$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,609.554548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed Yes5c5,373$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.042429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6149…dacfbacked No75c5,338$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.411250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed No50c5,296$2,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6484744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes39c5,232$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.57185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-87.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50017823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked No39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.322737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9009826.5%26 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0356…11a8backed Yes50c5,000$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-61%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Yes60c4,758$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,840.8737540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No31c4,727$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,262.2110046%46 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes21c4,720$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.162524%6 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x340f…3cf5backed Yes13c4,472$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes39c4,406$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74013435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a1…5bb6backed No50c4,324$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes52c4,200$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18222021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e4…5883backed Yes3c4,150$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.31118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+53.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc2b…c5d0backed No73c4,103$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.52944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b6…3f65backed Yes42c4,081$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes51c4,000$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0207147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes33c3,999$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.6823152.4%121 W · 110 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2376…a032backed Yes52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7a…6f28backed Yes50c3,831$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.712737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd313…a320backed Yes40c3,822$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+50%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes39c3,794$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48815439.6%61 W · 93 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…5f32backed Yes50c3,721$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No62c3,700$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.131533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa810…fd25backed No22c3,689$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.73837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…4beabacked Yes52c3,654$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes37c3,647$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.773435.3%12 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed Yes78c3,586$2,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,793.813265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes39c3,585$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.3566831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No68c3,454$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.1512737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b8…74e8backed Yes59c3,342$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.89560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a6c…37c0backed Yes34c3,340$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155c…1b09backed Yes31c3,333$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.221225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes32c3,188$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.7652750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba9…982bbacked Yes80c3,003$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1047…763abacked No46c3,000$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x625c…61d1backed Yes4c2,900$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick23cpaid+63.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes67c2,761$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.928543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes48c2,730$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3196835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes58c2,723$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes62c2,692$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.391,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecc…9222backed Yes74c2,691$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x729a…c966backed Yes63c2,600$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849a…d636backed Yes32c2,566$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.