TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,116,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$623,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,116,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed Yes3c200,940$6,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,001.2516242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Yes2c120,765$2,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,834.882030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes2c72,849$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.88933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x922f…3baabacked Yes3c56,041$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.3930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes3c36,013$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes3c29,511$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.2413934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes5c25,000$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.8185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-87.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes3c22,588$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7873429.4%10 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes4c17,072$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.758023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick24cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes3c15,785$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.088721.8%19 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes4c15,370$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.8380%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes5c11,445$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.661,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Yes3c10,894$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.5122737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes3c10,397$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.573315.2%5 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes3c9,999$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0466831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes4c9,931$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.81414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes3c9,411$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.382035%7 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes4c6,784$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.872714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0356…11a8backed Yes3c6,000$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-61%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1e…a91fbacked Yes4c5,260$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…0d0fbacked Yes3c5,000$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-80.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes3c4,738$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7140%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes2c4,372$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.581533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes4c3,738$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714140.4%57 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ee…d8e2backed Yes3c3,275$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c2,907$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.342,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…1116backed Yes4c2,900$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.12623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes4c2,826$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.853823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0cb7…e34cbacked Yes4c2,822$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.86616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-56.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes4c2,694$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes3c2,367$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes3c2,363$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4328828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes4c2,331$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f69…18cabacked Yes4c2,326$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf18…126cbacked Yes4c2,318$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-59.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49db…3d28backed Yes4c2,300$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.09812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-75.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes3c2,200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.853324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709a…122ebacked Yes5c2,187$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-73%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e4…02a8backed Yes3c2,176$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.82425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+79.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8be…e868backed Yes3c1,947$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes4c1,780$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1114345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Yes6c1,660$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9510729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…91f9backed Yes3c1,585$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.971921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x247f…ff45backed Yes4c1,538$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1d…f1a8backed Yes4c1,462$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.021020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcca2…e321backed Yes2c1,418$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2870%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Yes3c1,261$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.581526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d1…86bebacked Yes5c1,140$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9f…0d89backed Yes3c1,075$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd073…b757backed Yes5c1,031$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.393429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-54.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Yes4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes8c967.19$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.311010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c2…73dbbacked Yes3c949.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.151711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf002…6221backed Yes3c917.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.41333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa83…5599backed Yes3c915.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.55922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid-36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbba2…5172backed Yes3c900.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.071414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e85…1ccdbacked Yes7c831.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd703…fb35backed Yes5c828.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.261315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-60.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf941…c564backed Yes3c809.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes3c801.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253616.7%6 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes3c774.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.472222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes3c766$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.452725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe64f…5976backed Yes4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014940.9%61 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe806…2d92backed Yes5c735.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae09…6a64backed Yes4c732.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8450%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes3c724.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.353647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes7c720.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.792020%4 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x033b…9fa7backed Yes3c662.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a7…a8fabacked Yes3c657.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd02…60e0backed Yes4c634.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.134845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7136…b35abacked Yes3c633.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.91425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f99…255dbacked Yes2c628.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe267…5295backed Yes3c606.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes4c603.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9138147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xece2…53afbacked Yes4c580$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.26425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-60.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0432…6621backed Yes4c556.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32a4…3956backed Yes3c554.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes4c540.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.576756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef8f…6461backed Yes3c534$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.021526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba8…b38bbacked Yes4c526.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes3c499.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.523152.4%121 W · 110 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes9c494$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.831,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes3c483$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-78.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb1…83edbacked Yes3c468.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd255…e524backed Yes4c468.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c9…a3d1backed Yes4c453.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8670%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa823…851fbacked Yes5c450$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.23616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf784…658fbacked Yes3c440$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d40…b4ecbacked Yes4c420$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7813546.7%63 W · 72 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x555f…012bbacked Yes4c420$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c51…07e9backed Yes3c403.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes5c398.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.45333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a1…49edbacked Yes3c378$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849a…d636backed Yes5c377.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6b…6b2dbacked Yes4c366$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa117…1aa9backed Yes3c360$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes4c359.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.335639.3%22 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67a5…2d41backed Yes4c358.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1460%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes4c346.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.222532%8 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.