TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Holger Rune win the 2025 French Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,252 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes2c65,115$1,382 inLost-$1,382.438124.7%20 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Yes1c13,985$195 inLost-$195.492825%7 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc4…a880backed Yes2c10,000$159 inLost-$158.696633.3%22 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c6,272$78 inLost-$77.842,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes2c5,585$105 inLost-$105.0410622.6%24 W · 82 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes3c3,187$80 inLost-$803534.3%12 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf18…126cbacked Yes4c2,630$100 inLost-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-59.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes2c2,000$39 inLost-$38.922138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes2c1,676$28 inLost-$27.622035%7 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes1c1,670$18 inLost-$18.37933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes1c1,272$17 inLost-$16.6167131.3%210 W · 461 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes1c1,157$13 inLost-$12.8413934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc48…6dcdbacked Yes2c1,110$22 inLost-$22.092653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c14…af5fbacked Yes2c1,078$20 inLost-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…1116backed Yes1c1,007$14 inLost-$14.062623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d1…86bebacked Yes2c1,003$20 inLost-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd8…1228backed Yes2c999.99$15 inLost-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes1c999.96$12 inLost-$121915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes2c999.45$15 inLost-$14.993315.2%5 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x852e…95d9backed Yes1c980.86$12 inLost-$12.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece2…53afbacked Yes2c920$18 inLost-$18.08425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-60.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes2c673.6$13 inLost-$12.6438147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4500…2603backed Yes3c571.43$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60d…57bfbacked Yes2c560$11 inLost-$11.072516%4 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-74.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5777…ae60backed Yes4c552.75$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Yes2c527.25$10 inLost-$102832.1%9 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb61…12eabacked Yes4c517.22$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a5…2d41backed Yes4c311.05$12 inLost-$1260%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…5964backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$10650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.