TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a45…cf97backed Yes0c22,340$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.345420.4%11 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes26c3,050$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79313219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No79c3,001$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.3114356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes10c2,966$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.7821337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b15…e717backed Yes10c2,387$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No73c2,193$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.2512353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes14c2,137$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.182123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa3…da37backed Yes13c2,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb08e…bee9backed Yes14c1,971$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa662…5b38backed Yes41c1,880$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes26c1,637$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.229219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa924…9c72backed Yes34c1,492$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5056…0576backed Yes21c1,320$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No76c1,300$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3188330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…2e63backed Yes26c1,186$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.4740%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1691…f06dbacked Yes17c1,135$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.391315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca4d…29ecbacked Yes24c1,011$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.54520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100166.3%1 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.31per pick37cpaid-90.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8352…cb73backed Yes27c1,000$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.150%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No69c1,000$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3152100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca9…f1c5backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Yes7c1,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fee…54fabacked Yes17c974.51$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x616f…6012backed Yes29c865.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes19c826$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.113766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f5…4183backed Yes15c824.85$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.292123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…62a1backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+150.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes13c705.67$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.541361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes25c629.27$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.226835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa532…114bbacked Yes9c613.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.680%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5891…ae01backed Yes29c612.36$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes21c610.6$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7312325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No75c569$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.943348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2375…e90dbacked Yes10c524.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebf…c7b5backed Yes21c520.21$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.26147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-86.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No73c477.78$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12920843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes6c475.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.512123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f6…d494backed Yes9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4070%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No74c437.62$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.782378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x06a8…5df3backed Yes26c437.62$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.781723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5121…5eb1backed Yes15c435.01$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3147…7667backed Yes37c408.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505418.5%10 W · 44 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8520…2a3cbacked Yes25c403$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29db…ae12backed Yes23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes24c399.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9612523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ec…7f1cbacked Yes26c393.4$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.081216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-60.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d8…9574backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d0…c293backed Yes13c382.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eaf…83b1backed Yes34c367.95$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff38…738dbacked Yes15c362.1$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.18520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed Yes14c350$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes60c333.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…f03dbacked Yes28c325.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.05616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5a…ba4fbacked Yes10c321.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed Yes25c317.69$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812536%9 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb12a…95a5backed Yes14c313.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.46633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No74c308.03$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.619223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4176…f22abacked Yes10c301.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…b54fbacked Yes26c290.54$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.44714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-81%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x150e…549bbacked Yes26c288.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed No73c287.9$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.73850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69a5…650ebacked Yes10c271.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes21c270.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.638622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed No77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd9e…3723backed Yes23c256.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.294673.9%34 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8404…8c08backed Yes9c253.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No75c252.15$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.04520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-73.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4040…e8abbacked Yes9c245.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked No76c241.03$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.851533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x746a…0772backed Yes25c239.23$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes23c234$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.825137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f31…cd6fbacked Yes26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Yes22c223.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf80f…428fbacked Yes12c215.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes6c215.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.27570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc64a…6c0dbacked Yes25c210$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x926a…0624backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10e9…2887backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d38…aceabacked Yes20c199.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9e…65f9backed Yes9c193.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c4…97c9backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5598…0f47backed Yes15c184.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d47…30aabacked Yes11c182.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes55c174.34$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.953417.6%6 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df1…38dfbacked Yes17c169.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b19…1ca7backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes20c157.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.983215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f38…a795backed Yes10c154.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3645…900bbacked Yes12c144.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked No77c143.68$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.054100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes18c137.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.362321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x590c…1599backed Yes15c135.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes24c134.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.367733.8%26 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36e…1524backed Yes32c133$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.561827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.