TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,018 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d36…8f64backed Yes2c13,232$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes20c9,077$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.1813219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes25c7,500$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.78137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-87.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbad2…994dbacked Yes7c7,361$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.371225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4040…e8abbacked Yes4c6,324$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes8c6,168$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.695255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No76c5,365$4,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.0221337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No79c5,066$3,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Yes5c4,313$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-58.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…2e63backed Yes7c3,981$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes11c3,565$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.712523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54db…0174backed Yes2c3,177$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-67.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes21c3,158$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.299219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee6…6887backed Yes5c3,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes4c2,859$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-73.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4176…f22abacked Yes22c2,736$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes4c2,626$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.469223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1691…f06dbacked Yes6c2,567$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.891315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes17c2,560$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.565137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yes13c2,534$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.81637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No79c2,473$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.46866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbeda…053abacked Yes11c2,380$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51a0…01e0backed Yes7c2,059$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d6…dde8backed Yes3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-68.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70bb…14c2backed Yes4c1,986$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x591f…a286backed Yes2c1,943$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa1…dc77backed Yes13c1,920$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.812030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x616f…6012backed Yes4c1,874$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Yes5c1,840$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d0…c293backed Yes23c1,755$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes6c1,703$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.761020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes14c1,654$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.898027.5%22 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x155c…1b09backed Yes6c1,464$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912020%4 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ec…7f1cbacked Yes8c1,454$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.011216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-60.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes7c1,416$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.492321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f6…d494backed Yes4c1,403$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6070%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes4c1,400$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6212419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No75c1,316$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.117028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c1,302$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.77570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebf…c7b5backed Yes6c1,300$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-86.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa532…114bbacked Yes24c1,270$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.8580%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes2c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2637…8536backed Yes2c1,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8352…cb73backed Yes7c1,000$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9950%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705521.8%12 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c2…c73cbacked Yes4c1,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.48616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-74.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec4…d553backed Yes19c999.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fee…54fabacked Yes24c985.07$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No77c937.09$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.792766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e8…0819backed Yes23c935.57$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.81128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c883.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.173766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes12c880.43$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0312616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x975b…149bbacked No75c855.07$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.771070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb13…054dbacked Yes24c834.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf52…2dafbacked Yes5c755.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-68.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1797…baa7backed Yes2c723$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x550b…7c2ebacked Yes6c701.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes6c689.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No74c668.28$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.92646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x590c…1599backed Yes6c660$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2c…c0a0backed Yes24c653.24$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1571233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4416…fdfdbacked Yes5c639.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d73…7bd9backed Yes18c624.54$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick33cpaid+84.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes5c611$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.660%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf80f…428fbacked Yes8c591.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes23c563.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6112325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes2c542.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4111547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes5c540.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.857233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Yes5c532.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.551118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes7c502$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.868622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed Yes3c501.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…5f67backed Yes24c500$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.31233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c06…62e3backed Yes5c500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca9…f1c5backed Yes5c500$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes6c500$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No77c495.61$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.46845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df1…38dfbacked Yes24c490.71$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6da3…9b15backed Yes22c480.12$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa265…bd3ebacked Yes6c477.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No80c462.74$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.777950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe877…32d1backed Yes23c433.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3c…7efbbacked Yes6c427.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb63…5241backed Yes4c408.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f69…18cabacked Yes6c389.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2170%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22b4…49acbacked Yes29c374.59$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f3f…ae90backed Yes6c350$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3850%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb82…8957backed Yes6c344.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccb…e4eabacked Yes11c338.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c20…9e4fbacked Yes7c319.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.25185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick13cpaid-84.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb12a…95a5backed Yes17c309.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.85633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…6ffdbacked Yes4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1360%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No69c285.07$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2715932.7%52 W · 107 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x943f…a119backed Yes7c278.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea90…0311backed Yes7c274.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0982…92c6backed Yes9c270.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.134015%6 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed No78c265.97$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.391764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9006…507ebacked Yes7c264.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb43b…5a7cbacked Yes23c260.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.