TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,750 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee00…cea1backed No9c29,906$2,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,748.395255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes59c23,309$13,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,468.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed No39c10,400$4,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,088.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes65c7,714$4,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.165733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked No43c6,549$2,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed No43c6,500$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8001250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed No6c5,714$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.853716.2%6 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dea…cf3abacked No0c4,955$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes56c4,442$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.3411547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes56c4,338$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.9421337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No26c4,143$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.113345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes56c3,986$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.4620843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No45c3,808$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.7713219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No30c3,722$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.218622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No55c3,052$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66514356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ce5…7c13backed Yes62c3,000$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.47425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-59.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No46c2,913$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.873348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No52c2,550$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.8312353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No48c2,500$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20412246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x155c…1b09backed Yes58c2,353$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.952020%4 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc40…4036backed Yes73c2,127$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.694100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c72…7e20backed Yes55c1,814$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes29c1,748$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.056866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes33c1,660$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.915137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes56c1,613$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.575759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes55c1,573$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.992254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2618…aecfbacked Yes56c1,429$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…2e63backed No44c1,385$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.5440%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa78…7248backed No29c1,300$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3773511.4%4 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid+54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa924…9c72backed No47c1,282$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes53c1,130$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.63520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeebf…c7b5backed No36c1,107$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.76147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-86.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes17c1,078$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.542646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…205bbacked Yes78c1,052$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.264100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+90.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes22c1,002$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.938027.5%22 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes17c1,000$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8305521.8%12 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e82…8b1abacked No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8854…882dbacked No45c997.98$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.0940%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfad4…9d23backed Yes19c990$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ec…7f1cbacked No42c940$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.11216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-60.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b3e…d991backed No1c908.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes58c891.4$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.43619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd124…b1c6backed No44c861.5$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b84…3e61backed Yes61c822.72$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.72633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e4a…8149backed Yes57c631.58$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No43c610.97$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.723250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…c2f8backed Yes55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Yes56c587.59$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8520…2a3cbacked Yes56c571.43$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes55c550$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3606835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9810…f117backed No45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22550%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed No35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17512419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Yes63c474.6$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No18c451.51$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6612616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fee…54fabacked Yes21c447.26$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.962213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x616f…6012backed Yes58c427.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.994228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f69…18cabacked No25c426.28$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10770%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yes23c401.42$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.091637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No38c382$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5112325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b94…3239backed Yes26c380.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.155100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+100.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Yes76c345.19$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.31118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71d8…41a9backed Yes53c344.47$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes28c328$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.178127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1953…9e2ebacked No46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No41c322.22$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…b54fbacked Yes75c304.83$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.57714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-81%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd9e…3723backed Yes57c300.4$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4f…a3e3backed No46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc631…76f6backed No43c298.96$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.18922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c7…c88fbacked No43c292.81$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.851241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes30c279.02$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.349219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01fb…ae3ebacked Yes53c270.66$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+143%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed Yes59c261.92$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.49540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29db…ae12backed Yes19c260$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcced…9ffebacked No12c257.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.561353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes61c255.46$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.219223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…62a1backed Yes20c250.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+150.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No68c238.55$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.55763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe146…d23dbacked No43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes54c222$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.851216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-69.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…858bbacked Yes55c219.55$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.83432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa1…dc77backed Yes19c212.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.582030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed No10c206.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c00…0788backed No17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2abc…b515backed Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe5…70eabacked Yes20c199.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick23cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc3…8029backed No44c192.77$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes57c191.74$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.454944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf9…2a15backed No44c182.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a1…7cb1backed No51c179.28$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e8…1403backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb48f…2885backed Yes69c176.17$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf638…8c7abacked Yes54c174.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.221478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8338…8be1backed Yes57c172.19$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.042450%12 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed No44c170.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff0…9a61backed Yes60c165.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0982…92c6backed Yes20c159$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.24015%6 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.