TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes15c19,393$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,864.8650%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No77c5,412$4,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.1614356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Yes14c5,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6901250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes32c3,528$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.366225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee6…6887backed Yes13c3,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes28c2,938$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.138027.5%22 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes2c2,900$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.512419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes13c2,871$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9813219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No68c2,647$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.0621337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes22c2,580$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.275137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes10c1,987$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6512246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x155c…1b09backed Yes7c1,721$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.242020%4 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No67c1,596$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.726866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes30c1,533$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.528127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes19c1,440$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.069219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No78c1,345$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.845759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0ec…7f1cbacked Yes13c1,312$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.551216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-60.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…2e63backed Yes13c1,126$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8140%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes31c1,080$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.46835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes12c1,011$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1912523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d2c…c0a0backed Yes33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d6…dde8backed Yes2c893.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-68.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b51…9c96backed Yes14c740$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes9c700$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes18c581.39$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.832512%3 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4238…3233backed Yes10c578.92$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes13c576.92$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986b…bd09backed Yes37c557.22$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb995…5f38backed Yes13c533.36$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.42425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa532…114bbacked Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13080%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01bd…47f1backed Yes28c473.18$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes14c464.29$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3df1…38dfbacked Yes23c456.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20c4…97c9backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No71c362.86$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.237950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c06…62e3backed Yes11c350$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes28c314.5$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.166633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed No79c286.99$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.451764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8338…8be1backed No70c285.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.882450%12 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes8c281.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0812616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No73c262.66$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked Yes13c260$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.82227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed No71c229.08$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.43850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes12c224.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.893766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes29c221.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…7a87backed Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f6…d494backed Yes30c212.45$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4870%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa78…7248backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143511.4%4 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid+54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4176…f22abacked Yes29c180.59$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3740%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes20c176.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4712325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No77c171.15$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.021861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a6…fb1bbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc370…829abacked Yes33c161.66$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-69.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes9c157.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.411250%56 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e8…1403backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e27…d603backed Yes29c154.11$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea29…21dfbacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes14c150.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.983215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c20…9e4fbacked Yes11c150$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick13cpaid-84.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf584…e58fbacked Yes11c149.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1760%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes8c149.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-55.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c2…73dbbacked Yes25c144.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca36…7914backed Yes35c141.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57ad…04a8backed No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes25c125.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.129223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e1…36c1backed Yes12c122.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No70c122$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.610051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8352…cb73backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1350%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cb…0377backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…6ffdbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1160%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No63c81.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3015932.7%52 W · 107 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Yes13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6554…bbd6backed Yes29c61.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-68.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x693d…a487backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed No67c59.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52536%9 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No73c55.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156055%33 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a7d…38b2backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69a5…650ebacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e08…d33fbacked Yes32c54.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd9e…3723backed No74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea42…2c25backed No72c49.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x612f…aa53backed No65c48.66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.034047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6faf…aaa2backed No69c44.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No77c43.6$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.911266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x299d…0253backed Yes28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0432…6621backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf065…c418backed No69c37.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aea…afe5backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1988…3d18backed No68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No73c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.247028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dab…1e96backed Yes48c20.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf638…8c7abacked No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a20…b218backed No68c16.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.