TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf065…c418

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
254
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 56 out of 100; worst Movies at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT6645.5%30 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win Manhattan in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.98
Will Andrew Cuomo win Queens in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$73.61
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.09
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.65
Will Brad Lander’s vote share be between 6% and 9% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.53
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+758.9%+$235.91
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will Brad Lander finish third in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.95
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.36
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+1,638.2%+$191.78
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+733.9%+$440.04
Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be between 10% and 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.81
Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be between 5% and 10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$31.39
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 5% and 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.33
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.8
Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$47.74
Will Andrew Cuomo win Brooklyn in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.7
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.92
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.86
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.39
First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+51.2%+$20.99
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+91.9%+$58.9
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.09
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.9
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.47
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.31
Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will valid votes be between 34 million and 36 million in South Korean election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$18.18
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.77
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+172.7%+$58.22
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$8.08
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 35% and 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+87%+$44.35
Will another person win the South Korean election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.66
Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.41
Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.43
Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+192.4%+$83.88
Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+339.6%+$74.56
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$24.94
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.12
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$35.12
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.94
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+153.4%+$23.66
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.13
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will Elon tweet 270 or more times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$81.78
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.19
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.9
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will Elon tweet 190–204 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.95
Will Elon tweet 205–219 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.34
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$145.14
Will Elon tweet 100–114 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.73
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.16
Will Elon tweet 175–189 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.07
Will Elon tweet 190–204 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.4
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+484.8%+$159.17
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.62
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+133.3%+$16
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.55
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.38
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$23.54
Will Ipswich win on 2025-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+44.2%+$13.91
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.51
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+262.6%+$28.44
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will Fulham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.18
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.37
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.37
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.53
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+382.9%+$77.21
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$4.22
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will Newcastle finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$3.31
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will Ipswich win on 2025-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Will Everton win on 2025-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.1
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.85
Israel strikes Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+41.7%+$7.94
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+68.5%+$40.53
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.22
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.52
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.34
Israel strike on Iran on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$73.1
Khamenei seen in public before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$54.56
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.16
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.39
Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.36
Israel strike on Iran on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.31
Israel strike on Iran on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.89
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.05
Another Houthi strike on Israel in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.45
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.24
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.68
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+88.6%+$42.27
Will the US add between 100k and 149k jobs in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+71.3%+$29.56
Will the US add between 150k and 199k jobs in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.16
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+64.6%+$12.6
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$10.7
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+165.1%+$60.6
Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+75%+$15.74
Will the US add between 150k and 199k jobs in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.42
Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+214.9%+$70.67
Will the US add between 100k and 149k jobs in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.31
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 1% and 0% in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+76.6%+$17.67
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-76.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.54
Will "F1" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.92
Will "Materialists" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.16
Will "Materialists" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$23.8
Will "Materialists" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $85m and $92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $78m and $85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75-79?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.92
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.42
Will "The Phoenician Scheme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3m and $5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60-69?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+54.8%+$42.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+90.1%+$47.53
Will Powell say "Unemployment" 15+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$36.04
Will Powell say "Obvious" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+100.9%+$64.3
Will Powell say "Recession" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+287.9%+$94.66
Will Powell say "China" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.16
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.93
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.85
Will Powell say "Immigration" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.44
Will Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+85.9%+$18.27
Will Jerome Powell say "Growth" 8 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.72
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+54.6%+$12.72
Will XRP reach $2.5 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$11.22
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.78
Will XRP dip to $1.9 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+173.3%+$37.41
Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.7
Will XRP dip to $2 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+129.7%+$36.7
Will Solana dip to $140 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+93.1%+$13.5
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+99.1%+$38.15
Will Solana reach $190 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+78.8%+$56.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Audra McDonald win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Musical 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.7
Will Darren Criss win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Musical 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.86
Will "Oh, Mary!" win the Tony for Best Play 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.54
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.14
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+157.2%+$15.8
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+82.8%+$12.64
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.72
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+74.7%+$8.24
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$7.5
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+281.3%+$28.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+146.1%+$113.97
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.54
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.35
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.26
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.42
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.66
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+176.2%+$86.26
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $370b on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+53.1%+$11.59
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+64.2%+$18.78
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-83.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+57.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the SEC Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.77
Will Auburn win the SEC Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+54%+$5.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Mumbai Indians win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+32%+$17.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$12.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Giants draft Abdul Carter?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.