Ukraine · resolved market
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cd16ea8e6e2b5f3475db22b82463cf7b6bf0579123c0db794c7eaf6cc6292d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 34,432$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.64 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 6c | 5,655$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.17 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…6977backed Yes | 20c | 5,150$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 4,713$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08f…9ecfbacked Yes | 13c | 4,685$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.52 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 11c | 4,178$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.71 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 8c | 3,063$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.83 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 16c | 3,006$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.08 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 9c | 2,696$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.35 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…7977backed Yes | 19c | 2,566$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 18c | 2,200$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 1c | 2,004$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…b846backed Yes | 14c | 1,975$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,819$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 2c | 1,732$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 20c | 1,527$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.77 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…e2a9backed Yes | 15c | 1,318$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 12c | 1,306$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…97b1backed No | 80c | 1,298$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 17c | 1,260$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.3 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…3197backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 77c | 1,199$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 8c | 1,100$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 16c | 1,094$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.21 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 14c | 1,084$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.13 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 9c | 1,018$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…e674backed Yes | 19c | 835.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 21c | 835.24$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 80c | 788.63$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.83 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 6c | 785.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…1edcbacked Yes | 15c | 726.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 74c | 699.99$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…e2f1backed Yes | 10c | 691.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac3…e93bbacked Yes | 7c | 626.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 622.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…7bc7backed Yes | 2c | 609.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 78c | 507.58$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…0a4fbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 7c | 495.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…5468backed Yes | 4c | 452.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 15c | 438.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 78c | 437.67$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 12c | 417.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 3c | 323$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…bc6bbacked Yes | 17c | 300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129d…7d2dbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0c…1ad5backed Yes | 6c | 299$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…1046backed Yes | 23c | 258.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a7…4453backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…b14cbacked Yes | 15c | 249.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2432…ae39backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…320ebacked Yes | 23c | 220.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 75c | 218.53$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…7f8fbacked Yes | 16c | 202.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…aeb7backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 16c | 199.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 14c | 179$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cde…67d0backed Yes | 17c | 144.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked Yes | 21c | 144.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 10c | 127.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f00…40c3backed Yes | 25c | 118.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 110.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…7e5abacked Yes | 13c | 106.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…40f9backed Yes | 17c | 101.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccb…3135backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…7c02backed No | 80c | 94.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 94 | 75.5%71 W · 23 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 80c | 90.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2395…6154backed Yes | 19c | 79.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 17c | 66.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 78c | 63.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 25c | 59.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f2…9682backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 80c | 40.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…8b32backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1911…d8d1backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.