TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3602…b407

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
280
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 60 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$29.16
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.98
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Gibraltar win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.82
Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Chad vs. Mozambique end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$5.55
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$24.65
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$34.97
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$24.33
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Will Slovakia win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Sweden win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Poland win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Denmark win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST3557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+132.6%+$57
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$37.25
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+284.6%+$74
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$14.31
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.06
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+208.8%+$56.17
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$14.25
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$3.85
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.2
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.54
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$37.8
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.64
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$156
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+48.3%+$119.37
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$73.59
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+220.8%+$46.6
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$83
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Georgia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Malta qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST3053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+244.8%+$71
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+284.6%+$74
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$20.39
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Slavia Praha win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$14.71
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$50.98
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$35
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+300%+$150
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.16
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+163.2%+$62
Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+69.5%+$7.92
Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$30.85
Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+156.4%+$36.32
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$567.66
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12
US strikes Yemen before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Israel strikes Yemen by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$234.5
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.3
Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.25
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$131.77
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$121.46
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.27
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+241.7%+$102.31
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+129%+$202.79
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$256
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$73
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$509.98
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$154
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+112%+$60.59
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Nothing Ever Happens: Julybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$62
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+55.1%+$24.28
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$108
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$66
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Elon apologize to Trump before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.6
Trump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$69
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.48
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.01
Will FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28.39
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$51.99
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+95.9%+$48.95
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$46.8
Spread: Bayern München (-1.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+138.1%+$57.99
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Will Hannover 96 win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+34.8%+$35.37
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-08-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-08-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$27
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$43.99
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Will Celta Vigo vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Valencia win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$37.86
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.29
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$223.42
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.76
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+47%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.89
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.2
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+27%+$63.8
Nothing Ever Happens backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$30.63
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+231%+$27.38
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+316.7%+$76
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$33.46
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+203%+$67
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$57
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DEL: Iserlohn Roosters vs. Adler Mannheimbacked Adler Mannheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$33.99
DEL: Adler Mannheim vs. Grizzlys Wolfsburgbacked Adler Mannheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+143.9%+$59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it Snow in New York City this December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will it Snow in Washington D.C. this December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$24.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.