Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-10-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x179663c017a9c366d9e631721175b2f1b0d863083e1ec8c88db4134e67cfbd70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 19,993$10,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,162.5 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 50c | 14,241$7,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,120.5 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 50c | 10,086$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 49c | 6,705$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.48 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 51c | 3,908$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 18c | 2,977$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.25 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 49c | 2,600$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.95 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Yes | 50c | 2,219$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…5b6fbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…af3ebacked No | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x826d…9947backed Yes | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 49c | 1,776$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.01 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 48c | 1,735$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.69 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 50c | 1,499$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.5 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 49c | 1,416$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.41 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 22c | 1,412$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.21 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 20c | 1,018$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.25 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 12c | 949.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 26c | 887.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.21 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 51c | 777$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.27 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 51c | 695.29$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.69 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 49c | 551$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.97 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 62c | 409.73$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.78 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 50c | 407.21$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Yes | 50c | 396.8$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 50c | 386.28$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…4d95backed Yes | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 50c | 331.94$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 54c | 305.83$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.74 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 50c | 298.68$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 50c | 257.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…c348backed Yes | 50c | 252$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 50c | 241.8$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 50c | 200.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 174.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed Yes | 50c | 158.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 67c | 151.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…dbedbacked Yes | 52c | 123.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Yes | 26c | 104.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 23c | 70.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…3e05backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 50c | 48.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed No | 75c | 45.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Yes | 37c | 45.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…e8fcbacked Yes | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee5…1765backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3a…d4d5backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…4fd4backed No | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 49c | 30.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…6bb0backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…d671backed Yes | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 52c | 22.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…33b2backed No | 50c | 20.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…e9babacked Yes | 51c | 20.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…1794backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-10-03?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-10-03?Yes won
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.