Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-10-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e680500b942835f98aef9f008bf1c138fced3fd73000833e0b42f05122bff3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 39c | 6,598$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 61c | 4,796$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.33 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 39c | 4,267$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 75c | 3,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 58c | 2,699$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.58 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 2,119$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.36 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 2,050$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.94 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 51c | 1,741$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.91 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 27c | 1,654$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.94 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,555$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.79 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 1,553$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.37 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 74c | 1,111$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.12 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 66c | 1,105$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 45c | 1,098$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.03 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 73c | 1,094$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.85 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 74c | 840.72$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 50c | 664.22$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.11 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 3c | 589$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…51f4backed No | 44c | 567.04$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 74c | 399.96$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d67…81f2backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 12c | 372.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 27c | 348.15$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 32c | 323.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 26c | 299.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 290$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 75c | 250.15$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.61 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4750backed Yes | 47c | 242.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Yes | 46c | 241.66$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 73c | 226.2$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.02 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…f2b5backed Yes | 48c | 216.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 73c | 210.53$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 62c | 210.26$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Yes | 54c | 207.27$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 43c | 197.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Yes | 51c | 196.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…15d4backed No | 76c | 195.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 74c | 170.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.91 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 160$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes | 44c | 147.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…7735backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes | 25c | 127.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed No | 75c | 123.45$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Yes | 33c | 121.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…b030backed Yes | 25c | 118.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 26c | 107.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Yes | 26c | 107.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68b9…052dbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc25b…dc9fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…bda6backed Yes | 26c | 88.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 76c | 86.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 41c | 86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5740…c1a6backed No | 32c | 78.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…395dbacked Yes | 46c | 74.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked No | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 26c | 65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes | 65c | 57.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…050bbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 51c | 55.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba5d…d1a1backed No | 75c | 54.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d4e0backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 67c | 50.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 43.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41d…8328backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…5325backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Yes | 51c | 39.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed No | 75c | 37.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…37b6backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…be77backed Yes | 70c | 36.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aed…2ef3backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 52c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…700dbacked Yes | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…4393backed Yes | 77c | 26.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…2077backed No | 75c | 21.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 76c | 16.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-10-03?this page
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?No won
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-10-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.