TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbeb5…050b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Will Everton win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$28.15
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$23.57
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+101.8%+$45.82
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$64.37
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$28.14
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+56.1%+$61.67
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.17
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$36.77
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$42.57
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$44.29
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$36.83
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$77.09
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$44.42
Will Celta Vigo vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+203%+$40.61
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$25.88
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$23.33
Will Osasuna win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+117.8%+$35.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.97
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$50.66
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$79.06
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.15
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+86.1%+$60.98
Lightning vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$44.2
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+86.5%+$18.17
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+170.3%+$48.17
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+58.9%+$59.2
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$40.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+92.6%+$47.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$32.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.