TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus win on 2025-11-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,293 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No35c12,400$4,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,340.013164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes65c5,165$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.312,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7505761.4%35 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31e0…94b0backed Yes67c4,471$2,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No33c3,912$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.8924657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No34c3,100$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.9611832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes65c2,430$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.3616154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes67c1,351$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.821650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No13c1,239$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1820033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No15c1,046$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9712050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c1,006$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.91,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes66c822.86$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+55.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes61c764.03$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.29651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Yes66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.063053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No34c399.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1364641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6926744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11112649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9912540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1154…0d31backed Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes64c259.6$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8941943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes64c242.88$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8133357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes64c231.19$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.232835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed No36c222.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No35c206.28$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0311546.1%53 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No34c201.45$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.494351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f4…d3e6backed Yes66c201.45$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7014254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783020%6 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes66c193.94$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.945856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d46…d383backed Yes66c159.09$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.092040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…f5d0backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852055%11 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8514748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf678…efc7backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked No33c152$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.162646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No36c148$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.289643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes65c144$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.45538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.414742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes61c140$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.66731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked No36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed No37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked No34c119.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.772626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed No38c105$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked No34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353030%9 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x352a…ff24backed Yes65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc4…fbb3backed Yes67c77.67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5eb…a613backed Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535a…8b84backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes62c74$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1212452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab4…a62dbacked Yes65c72.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No20c71.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0110260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7068…8236backed Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e2…ca98backed Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd6…8373backed Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92fb…18a3backed Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb56b…7150backed Yes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec10…4d93backed Yes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a64…bb41backed Yes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…d772backed Yes66c60.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x956c…13bebacked Yes66c59.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fb…cc67backed Yes66c59.77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc47e…8ae4backed No35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Yes64c56.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No37c45.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7910163.4%64 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x103b…6b22backed No36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1639…336ebacked Yes63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd072…f8b6backed Yes62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.24751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.312055%11 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed7…9839backed Yes65c36.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e8…a953backed Yes64c35.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed No36c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Yes63c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.216165.6%40 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ef…dc31backed No37c32.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes65c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.248144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb5…050bbacked Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f48…6a49backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.775745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d0…4201backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a3…7dedbacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d2b…f380backed Yes65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c2f…66b2backed Yes70c28.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf76f…d928backed Yes65c27.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.641668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a75…ed14backed Yes64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…cec1backed Yes64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…9b67backed Yes64c24.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…991bbacked Yes64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6872…f2e7backed Yes65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed Yes65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.