TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,009,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,013,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,009,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 870 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Yes55c143,922$79,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,142.6720039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c121,098$65,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,209.286,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No45c88,581$39,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,719.425054%27 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No48c76,824$37,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,799.6435758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No46c73,783$33,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,990.5118958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No46c65,385$29,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,463.219450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes54c60,000$32,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,531.93644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No46c56,520$25,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,772.821853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes52c56,146$29,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,317.227235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c41,575$22,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,052.241,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No47c36,028$16,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,112.4620140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes55c33,136$18,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,224.674264.3%27 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No48c29,664$14,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,431.415049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No46c25,918$11,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,963.9621154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Yes54c21,789$11,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,766.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No46c20,996$9,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,388.0130851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes58c18,000$10,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4405246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yes53c16,944$8,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,980.113060%18 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64df…6facbacked Yes43c16,415$7,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,05110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes48c13,479$6,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,495.883551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No47c12,940$6,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,858.3615949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes29c12,903$3,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7429636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes12c12,486$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.1736954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbbed…5194backed Yes55c12,138$6,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,675.9760%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes51c12,000$6,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,096.457448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No68c11,254$7,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,645.3551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No59c10,600$6,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,381.9556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes53c9,304$4,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,930.8679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No47c9,165$4,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,857.4510335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes55c9,100$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Yes55c9,087$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes55c9,087$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.697028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…ee2ebacked Yes55c9,086$4,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes29c8,602$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.5141344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked No71c8,000$5,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3201540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Yes33c7,077$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No45c6,908$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,808.4831655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No47c6,706$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,581.3311155.9%62 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes48c6,621$3,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18218433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No71c6,503$4,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.696149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes2c6,302$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.151305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc7…eaa4backed Yes54c6,203$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf969…31afbacked No46c6,194$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,348.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked No45c5,972$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,274.78560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No47c5,825$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,087.21850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No44c5,817$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.1546651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Yes53c5,700$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,02118950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41bc…c75bbacked Yes45c5,499$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.851540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes53c5,271$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,793.4645936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9009646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes21c4,879$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.044,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a23…4e9fbacked Yes54c3,700$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No45c3,500$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,91521353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No67c3,344$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.379450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c4f…61ccbacked Yes24c3,240$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.67933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+102.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de4…ca53backed Yes56c3,200$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904c…1902backed No44c3,200$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes17c3,088$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5253246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6504746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed No46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9837054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes39c2,999$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.4820646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No47c2,987$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.232548%12 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No47c2,978$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.3424566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe286…7735backed Yes54c2,778$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes54c2,585$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.717234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No62c2,562$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.0934251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes40c2,507$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.536435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes29c2,500$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.6816437.2%61 W · 103 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No43c2,485$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.7342048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c73…0fd5backed Yes10c2,457$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes3c2,451$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8142043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes54c2,426$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.153948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked No48c2,410$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.425642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No76c2,381$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.4428070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3357…42fabacked Yes54c2,332$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2481040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x286c…caffbacked Yes55c2,296$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.69540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Yes53c2,264$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No45c2,264$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.949263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f0b…f5ebbacked Yes40c2,078$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x139e…397ebacked Yes54c2,030$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.79650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No46c2,013$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.027448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06017837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd715…915abacked No46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes54c1,999$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.254870.8%34 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No47c1,921$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.283046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9178…534ebacked Yes53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xae13…2125backed Yes53c1,881$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes54c1,833$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.0429044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48aa…a422backed Yes55c1,816$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes18c1,792$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.513727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes55c1,752$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.713860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes17c1,700$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28625836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efe0backed Yes45c1,662$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.561353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+59.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes45c1,650$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes43c1,610$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6904833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.