Will Brentford vs. Liverpool end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa243477638003bbe8a0c4f92de2100466700ca7b75e43758487aab865e0b7e43

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 25, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $43,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,126 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes	18c	9,300$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680	369	54.5%201 W · 168 L	+50.1wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+91.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes	25c	4,739$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	20c	2,951$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.95	272	35.7%97 W · 175 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No	75c	2,614$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653.4	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No	80c	2,338$1,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$477.07	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No	76c	1,971$1,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.87	316	55.1%174 W · 142 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	36.5%27 W · 47 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	76c	1,061$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.64	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x968a…6842backed Yes	24c	935$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.4	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.30per pick	42cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9775…8746backed Yes	27c	666.77$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes	31c	656$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.36	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes	23c	614.17$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.26	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes	21c	587.26$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	75c	564.4$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.64	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No	76c	539.96$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.57	357	58%207 W · 150 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa4…17c0backed No	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	69	63.8%44 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	258	36%93 W · 165 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No	72c	492.19$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.56	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes	24c	420$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	172	34.9%60 W · 112 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Yes	15c	413.5$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.9wins	-0.36per pick	49cpaid	-84.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed No	76c	409.17$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.2	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	97	24.7%24 W · 73 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-27%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes	24c	380$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.2	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-52%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes	12c	341.37$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	73	28.8%21 W · 52 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3c12backed Yes	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	21c	266.57$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.4	86	31.4%27 W · 59 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Yes	8c	263.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa359…e803backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8252…e65cbacked Yes	10c	209.6$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.96	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.8	207	50.2%104 W · 103 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf54c…e6ccbacked Yes	28c	193.04$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.05	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-64%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…3349backed Yes	31c	191.29$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.3	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fdc…efadbacked Yes	14c	188.25$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.02	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	31cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48b7…f103backed Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked Yes	14c	178.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.17per pick	30cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x664b…a286backed Yes	27c	166.67$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	84	39.3%33 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes	12c	163.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	99	41.4%41 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No	77c	160$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.8	111	62.2%69 W · 42 L	+10.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0971…83abbacked Yes	31c	159.68$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffb1…0441backed Yes	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes	31c	145.16$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	78	35.9%28 W · 50 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x258c…661fbacked Yes	29c	137.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes	31c	136.42$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	243	49%119 W · 124 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x797f…d4e0backed No	76c	130.22$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.25	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes	24c	125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	69	42%29 W · 40 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	291	46%134 W · 157 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac95…5f12backed No	75c	120$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes	24c	120$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	97	38.1%37 W · 60 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1a…6258backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Yes	19c	103.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	100	31%31 W · 69 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x44b4…08d7backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.7wins	-0.46per pick	59cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde43…ec94backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa633…497dbacked Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe3ab…d418backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x618a…6196backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe7ea…f860backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf0ae…0426backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4cad…2032backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2633…1930backed Yes	31c	96.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd1…00c9backed Yes	30c	91.67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	422	40.3%170 W · 252 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2c…c7a7backed Yes	24c	80$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	39cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No	78c	79$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.38	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a28…f71abacked Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes	15c	70$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No	72c	69.99$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	227	64.8%147 W · 80 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No	77c	65.68$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.88	845	49%414 W · 431 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	129	35.7%46 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes	24c	62.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe300…8a97backed Yes	23c	61.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.21	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+35%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33fa…681bbacked Yes	21c	60$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe44c…9f6cbacked Yes	22c	55.51$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.3wins	-0.36per pick	59cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6c27…f0cdbacked Yes	31c	48.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x567b…27d7backed No	77c	41.18$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.47	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	68cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb4…1233backed No	76c	40.95$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.83	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587f…1d4abacked No	76c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	75cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes	28c	37.39$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee75…f23abacked Yes	28c	36.39$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No	75c	28.25$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.06	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7308…2b0abacked No	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	73cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c4…699bbacked No	77c	26.21$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.03	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-34%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No	77c	18.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.35	92	63%58 W · 34 L	+9.7wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+28%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Brentford vs. Liverpool end in a draw?this page
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-25?Yes won
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Brentford vs. Liverpool end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event