TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1470…7cbebacked Yes34c16,175$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c14,253$8,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,634.226,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No67c13,852$9,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,571.2110849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No66c10,793$7,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,669.7279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No66c9,433$6,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,251.4535758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes34c7,347$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4984348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes34c7,000$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,38050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes33c5,997$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.4627235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No66c5,009$3,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.9721154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes24c4,220$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0207229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes26c4,069$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.294454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c4,047$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.081,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes35c4,033$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39522932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No67c3,674$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.8731655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No66c3,015$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No61c2,674$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.1751542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No67c2,491$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.0756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No66c2,427$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.266450%32 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes33c2,392$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.318742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No66c2,206$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75246651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No66c2,042$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.414254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes33c1,946$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.187443.2%32 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c6…828cbacked No67c1,810$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d46…8029backed Yes34c1,810$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes34c1,762$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5993871.1%27 W · 11 L+7.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No66c1,679$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.8410455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a2…0bd2backed No67c1,535$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eae…fbaebacked Yes33c1,534$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes33c1,228$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.812352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes33c1,133$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.922138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No65c1,124$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.4321353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No68c1,043$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.824946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No66c1,026$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.7510357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c1,002$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.014,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No66c999.96$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9940640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes33c999$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.6717544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No59c923.3$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.1215049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes33c908.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.868348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a61…2accbacked Yes35c876.28$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+71%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No66c793.88$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.927256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes52c788$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.7669772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x57dd…6ab4backed Yes34c750$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes34c735.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2920447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes34c711.76$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2422352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes33c710.13$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.842934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc668…e830backed Yes34c657.47$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.54825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes32c610.87$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4840046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No66c586.49$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.873053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f94…98b8backed Yes34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Yes70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa4…17c0backed No67c499.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1656963.8%44 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No52c499.97$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9814342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No65c489.78$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.421,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes34c454.89$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No66c449.98$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.894845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f0…57b6backed Yes34c412.06$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No69c411.53$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1225545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e60…94ccbacked Yes34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d24…e4c8backed No68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ef…2516backed Yes22c389.92$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes34c382.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…1485backed Yes33c379.5$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No67c360$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.810044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes26c334.29$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes34c317.65$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed Yes23c308.83$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.033417.6%6 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-63.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40c8…ac92backed No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9921839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No32c295.61$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9517327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1932…4e5abacked Yes68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003330.3%10 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac45…ea33backed Yes74c270.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002572%18 W · 7 L+7.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+88.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd2…fec8backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+87.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Yes34c267.65$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+59.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e9d…062cbacked Yes34c267.44$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004727.7%13 W · 34 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed No66c249.13$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.71020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No70c249.07$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.851,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes34c220.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512446%57 W · 67 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes66c200.11$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.073050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14067042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12436954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x08cd…ef8bbacked No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No66c195.95$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes39c181.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.753540%14 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes38c177.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.612545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No67c161.68$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8168942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0d…5de2backed Yes34c158.82$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.