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Premier League · resolved market

Will Everton vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes31c58,350$17,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,995.093237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c14,809$10,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,594.816,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No69c12,517$8,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,866.1431655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes31c12,000$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,72039048.5%189 W · 201 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No69c11,357$7,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,520.6179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No70c11,315$7,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,448.6135758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c6,855$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,711.524,87441.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7704…48c5backed Yes31c6,775$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.2540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8f…88febacked No69c5,652$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-32.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No69c5,277$3,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.8617958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b6…940abacked No69c4,350$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc80…eb42backed Yes31c3,230$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.340%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Yes32c3,156$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93056453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes79c2,956$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.634454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No69c2,461$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.794946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No69c2,388$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.2814754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No69c2,296$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.766744.8%30 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No68c2,291$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.0410455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes31c2,260$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.625847.7%123 W · 135 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes28c2,250$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6307229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No69c1,855$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.7390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No69c1,512$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.7245751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Yes31c1,250$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.53836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No70c1,142$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.413046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes30c1,103$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.127235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31020240.6%82 W · 120 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1cd…d76cbacked No70c990$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2972100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No73c750.77$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2751542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes25c750$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7528736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes31c650$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.521656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20f1…5fcbbacked No70c565.71$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No28c550$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39430666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes31c548.39$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17018740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No61c506.66$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6625545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aa4…17c0backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506963.8%44 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes21c447.81$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.227024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Yes32c418.75$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1343231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No70c379$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.710044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked No70c330.13$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.042962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Yes31c327.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-58.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No69c261.23$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.984254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No69c252$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1283559.3%495 W · 340 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c88…f02dbacked No69c220$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes31c196.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2428246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b1a…6258backed Yes26c191.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.95717.5%10 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked No54c175$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.51850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3342…df4ebacked No76c175$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…2bddbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+57.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f0d…5de2backed Yes31c158.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes18c154.07$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10fc…6b0fbacked Yes31c151$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa133…8de2backed Yes61c150.5$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No27c130.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.41,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9775…8746backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405226.9%14 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x193b…dd04backed Yes80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No69c103.23$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326450%32 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e24…cea8backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.54637%17 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe49c…773ebacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2432522.8%74 W · 251 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e1…be58backed No70c89$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+190%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c74.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7322764.8%147 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes32c68.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229738.1%37 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No69c63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5381559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042740.3%172 W · 255 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61b…1f96backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x582b…20afbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ee…2198backed No70c62$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No68c58.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.87256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80fe…290cbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207740.3%31 W · 46 L-11.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No50c55.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6528070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No33c55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.727454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf697…a0dbbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125418.5%10 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No55c46.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5541344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4789…7c8fbacked Yes76c39.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes32c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Yes31c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.975052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7924…a7b0backed Yes80c35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea07…d8b7backed Yes67c32.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.67742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes31c32.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,17657.4%675 W · 501 L+40.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes78c31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1861441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Yes68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209357%53 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c9…c452backed No69c28.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3635…17c8backed No70c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed No68c23.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.593262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No69c21.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8252060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe08e…646dbacked No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.