TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x39a5…c9a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT7229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+358.1%+$1,432.43
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,955.56
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+147%+$26,458.76
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,250
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$7,384
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18,292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.1%+$10,630.45
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+154.4%+$7,717.66
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$4,078.95
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+401%+$1,788.35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14,121.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7,241.38
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$400.61
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+169.9%+$28.71
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.54
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$247
Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.32
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.66
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$176.06
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$760.53
Will PSV win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+96.6%+$965.73
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$851.85
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+257.1%+$642.86
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+203%+$203.03
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+42.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$4,249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+750.1%+$31,875.98
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$4,549.99
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,975.28
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,174.99
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,576.72
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+488.2%+$488.24
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+43.7%+$245.15
Raiders vs. Chiefsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.18
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,185
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,581Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$2,810.67
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,802Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$6,778.95
Lions vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Commanders vs. Chargersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$815.79
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000.18
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 21 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-57.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,938.25
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+54.7%+$1,038.51
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$87.5
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,179Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+185.4%+$2,185.91
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,423
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$105
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+89.1%+$43.53
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington State vs. Virginiabacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.61
Alabama vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+981.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,732.2%+$3,909.8
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,194Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+230.8%+$2,756.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$792.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+669.2%+$16,730.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,333.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$492.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$469.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.