NFL · resolved market
Commanders vs. Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa87c912f0aa2042bdb6ea11a2ef4d4cd44e51f35d3c0caecb3410a554ca3d57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Commanders, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $822,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $878,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $822,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chargers | 55c | 161,405$88,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,449.48 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Chargers | 73c | 129,547$94,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,355.44 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Commanders | 43c | 95,977$41,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,406.15 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Chargers | 56c | 68,788$38,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,322.88 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Commanders | 45c | 67,212$30,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,052.68 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Chargers | 64c | 47,534$30,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,308.91 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Commanders | 41c | 38,411$15,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,662.27 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Chargers | 56c | 30,000$16,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,700 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Commanders | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,599.95 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Chargers | 57c | 21,980$12,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,528.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Commanders | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Commanders | 38c | 19,210$7,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,990.98 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Commanders | 27c | 18,745$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,659.58 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Commanders | 30c | 15,412$4,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,717.83 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Chargers | 21c | 13,600$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.07 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Commanders | 27c | 12,369$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,990.04 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Commanders | 38c | 12,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,439.99 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Commanders | 43c | 11,774$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,710.91 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Commanders | 27c | 11,089$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,054.76 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Chargers | 60c | 10,122$6,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,041.1 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Commanders | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Chargers | 59c | 10,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.95 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Commanders | 43c | 9,295$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,291.08 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Commanders | 28c | 9,252$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,661.34 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Chargers | 29c | 8,639$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Commanders | 39c | 8,017$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,880.5 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Commanders | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Commanders | 38c | 7,617$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.64 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Commanders | 46c | 6,449$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.54 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chargers | 60c | 6,016$3,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,606.48 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Commanders | 53c | 5,386$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.48 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Commanders | 45c | 5,303$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.04 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…d274backed Commanders | 71c | 5,007$3,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Commanders | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…f3a9backed Chargers | 62c | 4,856$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Commanders | 39c | 4,850$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.5 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Commanders | 39c | 4,579$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Commanders | 42c | 4,487$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.34 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Commanders | 51c | 4,076$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.51 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Commanders | 37c | 3,968$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.56 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chargers | 59c | 3,905$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.19 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Commanders | 40c | 3,746$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.15 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Chargers | 30c | 3,727$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.05 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Commanders | 38c | 3,610$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.86 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Chargers | 59c | 3,400$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.99 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Chargers | 1c | 3,339$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Commanders | 40c | 3,188$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.25 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Commanders | 33c | 3,118$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.86 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chargers | 55c | 3,088$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.34 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Commanders | 34c | 3,002$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.11 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Commanders | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Commanders | 37c | 2,873$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.56 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Commanders | 41c | 2,820$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.72 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Chargers | 61c | 2,588$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.81 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Commanders | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Commanders | 35c | 2,537$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.72 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…0fbebacked Chargers | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…87b7backed Commanders | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +184.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Commanders | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Chargers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Chargers | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.98 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Commanders | 38c | 1,930$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.76 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Commanders | 52c | 1,860$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.1 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Commanders | 39c | 1,844$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.59 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…2523backed Chargers | 59c | 1,785$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…2b5dbacked Commanders | 42c | 1,785$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Chargers | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Commanders | 21c | 1,596$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.8 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Chargers | 1c | 1,555$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Chargers | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed Chargers | 59c | 1,500$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Commanders | 44c | 1,479$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.24 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Commanders | 73c | 1,451$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.47 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6c…2912backed Commanders | 54c | 1,396$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Commanders | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Commanders | 40c | 1,260$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.99 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…4722backed Commanders | 42c | 1,257$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.98 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…75e3backed Commanders | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Chargers | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Chargers | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Commanders | 40c | 1,110$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.02 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Commanders | 20c | 1,020$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Commanders | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Commanders | 22c | 999.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.72 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…3155backed Chargers | 30c | 973.43$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Chargers | 59c | 932.35$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.33 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Chargers | 59c | 928.71$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.94 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Commanders | 47c | 866$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.06 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Chargers | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Commanders | 44c | 843$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…74e9backed Commanders | 29c | 835$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Chargers | 56c | 834.14$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Chargers | 52c | 781.33$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.63 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Chargers | 32c | 781.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Commanders | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3242backed Chargers | 61c | 733.72$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.57 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Chargers | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Commanders | 41c | 699.38$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.63 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Chargers | 29c | 689.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Commanders | 73c | 671.38$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Commanders vs. Chargersthis page
- Commanders vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5Under won
- Commanders vs. Chargers: O/U 44.5Under won
- Commanders vs. Chargers: O/U 46.5Under won
- Commanders vs. Chargers: O/U 47.5Under won
- Commanders vs. Chargers: O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Chargers (-1.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Chargers (-2.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Chargers (-3.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Chargers (-4.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.