TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,275,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,275,788 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6bc…a49ebacked Yes68c687,592$469,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469,292.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No32c208,986$66,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,807.0124846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No65c192,973$124,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,188.6635941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No32c121,701$39,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,448.0951750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No33c120,533$39,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,574.72,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes66c113,323$74,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,792.891241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No31c88,618$27,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,146.113946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No34c43,350$14,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,5349856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No33c35,472$11,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,847.6785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No55c30,204$16,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,564.151,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No32c21,840$6,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,851.21553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes67c14,925$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No33c13,676$4,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,200.146550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No35c12,000$4,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,782.1812847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No34c11,661$3,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,754.314751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No34c10,104$3,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,668.949272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes36c9,354$3,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,37025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes51c8,000$4,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,069.9918948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8302…f88abacked Yes62c7,644$4,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,739.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No32c7,550$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1343171%22 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No43c7,000$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,980.0350644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No36c6,739$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,320.1510236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes39c6,469$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked No34c6,100$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,025.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No34c4,500$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,97033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No57c4,254$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.2874056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes29c4,016$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.0445936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No31c4,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,76017745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes67c3,780$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.69055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No34c3,400$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2447251.4%37 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes64c3,223$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.6228242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No63c2,642$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.721,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No41c2,000$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1761,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked No32c1,856$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.063941%16 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No33c1,824$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.0813939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed No33c1,800$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2061241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No35c1,743$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.341,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No32c1,681$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.254555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No55c1,600$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.2582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked No32c1,503$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.13955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Yes65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9751729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-51.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes35c1,439$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f87…f334backed Yes28c1,356$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes36c1,257$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.513727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No34c1,200$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes31c1,137$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.055129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc41d…0927backed Yes10c1,006$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13019235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6607268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Yes65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6505641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes53c938.6$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.21637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No33c876.23$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.5575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes67c799.98$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.996549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a9…592dbacked Yes19c795.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes16c762.5$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12223632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No34c737.29$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.0696443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc0…eb3cbacked Yes43c734.48$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3162236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes48c732.32$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.9812935.7%46 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes31c700$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes62c699.99$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No69c681.84$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.654468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b1a…6258backed Yes21c666.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405717.5%10 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Yes64c625$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d97…18aebacked No32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes22c591.52$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4245224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No33c559.26$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.791,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes67c541.09$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No60c530.7$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.051,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No35c529.07$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.851,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2959756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11ab…f911backed Yes64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f65…4875backed No40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503716.2%6 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No32c495.5$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.9417153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes66c481.55$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.825446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes21c481.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.173215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes64c469.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No34c450$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29760557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes35c430$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9923531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No55c427$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes14c422.37$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1312136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes65c414.74$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27031746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No31c400$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27614938.3%57 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Yes24c399.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962218.2%4 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f0c…9fc9backed Yes31c387.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+83.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No34c375$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes24c362.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b7…bfe9backed Yes65c343.32$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Yes37c338.95$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes32c311.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3332822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19835056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19859958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19519357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45b2…1cd1backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed No38c290.76$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.271241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes35c286.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes64c281.25$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011746.2%54 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.