TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,767 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d5c…4302backed Yes53c18,930$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,930.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No43c9,244$3,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,990.7246943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed No66c6,087$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0004348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d7…f14fbacked Yes42c4,745$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.331040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes12c3,889$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,422.932,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes49c2,959$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.51,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No54c2,607$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.851,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Yes42c2,292$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.831450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+124.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes13c2,140$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.471,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes12c1,590$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.219239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No43c1,580$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.3242043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked No45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67520646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No13c1,200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15615735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No61c1,200$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.984259.5%25 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No33c1,088$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.2811450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf034…d5a8backed No64c1,086$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.57560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes49c950$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.754369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed No46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes39c823.9$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.2377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Yes72c764.09$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.091435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-37%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.2919426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes41c700$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41311828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked No53c699$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.54030%12 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No46c602.24$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.041,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed No41c499.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.996936.2%25 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No71c485.51$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.0769772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes13c482.46$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.881,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes50c449.93$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.478153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Yes46c435.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.583228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2031…4059backed Yes12c416.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.671050%5 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+210.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49c7…3e1dbacked Yes52c386.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed No49c372.69$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.627245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes36c370.88$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.0112136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes38c363.52$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes12c323.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Yes71c318$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.222347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes63c315.13$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.34785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked No45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354975.5%37 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Yes36c290.62$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.111450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes45c282.33$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8145142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes52c268.54$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.92857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes12c263.64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23236554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.414835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Yes70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751560%9 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f6…a05fbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cad…6ce4backed Yes69c222.97$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.121172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89fe…8d55backed No60c216$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed No28c214.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.13215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed No26c212.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.235750.9%29 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1309157.1%52 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.171764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+61.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed No60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Yes52c190.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.533357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes68c162.61$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5966031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed No73c157.82$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152065%13 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid+9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked No44c157.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709330.1%28 W · 65 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed No49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes12c150$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1327746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes13c150$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.527051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes12c147.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.953630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes37c143$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6726319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked No61c142.62$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8760%0 W · 6 L-3.7wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1c24…921dbacked No31c132.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.451,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes12c120.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4633124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed No51c120.32$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1624340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Yes62c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.294445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87cf…4a5bbacked Yes79c106.65$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes13c105$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3966…c095backed Yes39c100.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed Yes12c100.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.846613.6%9 W · 57 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.384156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605263.5%33 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5955654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.399641.7%40 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Yes61c98.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.249100%9 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+104.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ea8…af03backed No53c94.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.351457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes26c90$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4525052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No60c83.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9873258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes48c81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1213727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…a8e5backed Yes52c78.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No62c77.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8419455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No37c75.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2451516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked No61c73.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed No48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce0…d031backed No32c61.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.324146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed No48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258537.6%32 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8983…91b1backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No60c48.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2440821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc164…55e7backed Yes52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.086645.5%30 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked No65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011540.9%47 W · 68 L-16.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed No44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207050%35 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3f9…e294backed No60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253850%19 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed No50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205752.6%30 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0baf…a8f9backed Yes36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.