TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc41d…0927

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$831.16
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Wimbledon ATP: Gabriel Diallo vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.35
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.47
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.91
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.47
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jongbacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.56
Roland Garros ATP: Michael Zheng vs Dino Prizmicbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.46
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Guiomar Maristany vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+180.7%+$406.92
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.31
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Dellienbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$220.46
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Yasmine Kabbajbacked Yasmine Kabbaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.23
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alexis Galarneau vs Federico Cinabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$186.21
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+300%+$962.82
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.92
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.19
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$151
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$130.99
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+150%+$421.5
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$208
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.74
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$660
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$375
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$161
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$152
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+192.3%+$100.01
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+272.6%+$136.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick22cpaid+229.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+733.3%+$1,488.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.