Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed29a5c0c292108ebd0bae1dc6bded161f4836ea1342dcb38c7abb8a0c91f443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 65c | 31,763$20,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,169.74 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 35c | 14,483$5,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,069.06 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 8,118$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.98 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 36c | 6,666$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.44 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 64c | 4,542$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.49 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 4,292$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.07 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 915.01$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.57 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 710.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 28c | 600$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 64c | 500$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 37c | 499.9$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.96 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 35c | 490.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.68 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 466$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.76 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 35c | 355$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 64c | 300$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 285.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 245.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes | 36c | 145.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…0927backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 63c | 129.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed No | 65c | 122.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed No | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 35c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 36c | 75.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 35c | 71.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 38c | 64.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 37c | 57.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 36c | 27.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed No | 65c | 27.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 63c | 17.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.