Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f056c042e08761b26dacf2275022e5ac0fe78d72ba99195886676c442b2480b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 62c | 4,768$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.34 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 9c | 2,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 71c | 1,956$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.15 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 13c | 1,140$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed No | 65c | 961.17$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.76 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 923.39$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 36c | 808.3$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.31 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed No | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 18c | 587.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 20c | 490.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 69c | 375.18$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 328.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 71c | 328$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 323.86$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.58 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 314.57$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.53 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 280$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 36c | 278.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.12 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 65c | 217.78$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Yes | 76c | 211.58$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 65c | 110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 76.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 42c | 48.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 64c | 46.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 36c | 43.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 66c | 39.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 34c | 39.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 79c | 38.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…85c8backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 65c | 30.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…4052backed Yes | 36c | 28.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.