Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eb071136c5f4dc9f8c9c12cab30dfb94d8a6cb96d3dfb8898a63d23d3063bdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,201 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 8c | 11,722$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed No | 79c | 7,119$5,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 6,886$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.06 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 77c | 4,896$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.05 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 22c | 4,005$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 22c | 3,869$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 21c | 3,632$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.92 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 78c | 2,119$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.5 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00c9…4efdbacked Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9681…eadabacked No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 1,932$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.95 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 1c | 1,778$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…6be6backed Yes | 22c | 1,652$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed No | 79c | 1,605$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 1,230$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.26 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 79c | 1,053$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.07 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 78c | 999.98$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed Yes | 22c | 966.12$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 22c | 927$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.94 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Yes | 23c | 912.39$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…4154backed Yes | 10c | 886.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d6…e37bbacked Yes | 14c | 783.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Yes | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.12 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 1c | 670.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…07ddbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 77c | 588.66$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked No | 78c | 576.95$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…0927backed Yes | 22c | 558.41$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 22c | 540.96$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 4c | 532$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 23c | 435.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 24c | 422.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 21c | 421.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…a266backed Yes | 10c | 408.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 5c | 406.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b67…cd22backed Yes | 24c | 325.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…7655backed Yes | 24c | 315.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…fb34backed Yes | 23c | 312.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba7e…5f27backed No | 74c | 304$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d9…780fbacked Yes | 26c | 304$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…3b62backed No | 79c | 295.73$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 291.55$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 22c | 290.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 23c | 283.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 23c | 262.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 21c | 257.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a19…cf08backed Yes | 23c | 246.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed No | 77c | 237.29$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed No | 77c | 236.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 77c | 234.96$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…ca8cbacked Yes | 23c | 223.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed No | 79c | 212.07$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 24c | 208.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 22c | 204.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4236…7040backed Yes | 21c | 202$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Yes | 22c | 200.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8abb…a7d5backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +100%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 78c | 198.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Yes | 22c | 179.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2357…b052backed Yes | 23c | 174.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa273…ea43backed Yes | 23c | 171.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…6abbbacked Yes | 23c | 164$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…3fabbacked Yes | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 151$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 149.7$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 23c | 149$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6de…3db6backed No | 78c | 147.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 24c | 143.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 23c | 131$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 130.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…4d08backed No | 77c | 130.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…0b03backed Yes | 9c | 129.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4672…efa9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 80c | 124$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 63cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…de04backed Yes | 22c | 120.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked No | 80c | 118.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…0f3cbacked No | 77c | 117.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes | 26c | 116.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-13?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?No won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.