TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,158 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes30c84,150$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0003636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c25,693$18,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,600.931,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c11,456$8,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.1275142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No70c7,358$5,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.434144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No70c7,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1002759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No71c5,881$4,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.093145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No71c5,275$3,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.751729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-56%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5007057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c4,526$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.6469851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No70c4,239$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.58771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c4,016$2,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.81,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No70c3,333$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.94351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes16c3,040$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.762,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c2,328$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.3862452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes29c1,984$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.321717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes20c1,780$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.541,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Yes29c1,551$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.791747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No72c1,518$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.061540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes29c1,450$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No71c1,380$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.282948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes2c1,111$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.223729.7%11 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c991.38$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.4935856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No70c800$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2408764.4%56 W · 31 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No71c700$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20331145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c667.31$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.383,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes15c600$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No70c596.03$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.819459.6%56 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes36c570$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.23873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15048146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15063645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No70c450$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13515453.9%83 W · 71 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37fc…7d57backed Yes29c413.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3da…3320backed Yes29c412.56$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd030…ffd8backed Yes29c411.25$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No72c399.97$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.992161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked No71c392.96$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.962045%9 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes29c372.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…dc4cbacked Yes29c358.94$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…8bb9backed Yes29c356.92$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No71c346$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.347722.1%17 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009252.2%48 W · 44 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdfb…1d8fbacked Yes29c335.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No71c304$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1630054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No71c300.01$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8719446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8716045%72 W · 88 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9022854.8%125 W · 103 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908461.9%52 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9010855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9024258.7%142 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9015454.5%84 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaa…35b2backed Yes29c284.31$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c278.69$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3278248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x798b…fb56backed Yes29c278.26$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758864.8%57 W · 31 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No70c230$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6914355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505560%33 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c85…1b78backed No72c206.3$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.975100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+75.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes6c203$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1813139.7%52 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608261%50 W · 32 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012757.5%73 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+55.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6013256.1%74 W · 58 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No70c180$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412356.9%70 W · 53 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No70c180$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412858.6%75 W · 53 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No70c180$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5420545.9%94 W · 111 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c178.01$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.456951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No77c174.37$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9539857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Yes29c172.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Yes29c172$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked No71c171.09$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.514756.5%83 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4525659.4%152 W · 104 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a69…148cbacked No72c149.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4383…3d32backed No72c149.94$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+112.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x143f…3c63backed No72c149.88$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9342…4d78backed No71c146.54$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f74…9745backed No72c146.1$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed No79c145.8$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.896100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc605…6037backed No72c140.47$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6526…acb3backed Yes29c139.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4447…cc47backed No72c139.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cb…8c51backed No72c137.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb9…27f5backed No72c135.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes29c134.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…1df7backed Yes29c131.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78cc…65a4backed No72c125.95$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f56…f76ebacked No72c125.66$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4542…0e60backed No72c124.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes29c121.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3550%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x053b…03b8backed No72c120.79$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.82366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.619254.7%105 W · 87 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3612259%72 W · 50 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3611458.8%67 W · 47 L+10.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3613957.6%80 W · 59 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3613859.4%82 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.