TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x143f…3c63

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+49.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$60.25
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,963Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,011.04
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$96.85
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$107.47
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$26.85
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.53
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+100%+$16.05
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$3.38
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.71
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$36.32
Utah vs. Flyersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$83.4
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$73.21
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+177.8%+$200.02
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.91
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.71
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$41.72
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.22
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.03
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+59%+$62.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-37.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.93
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$27.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+112.8%+$126.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+99.6%+$16.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$82.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.