MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f74e7022ac75a7a578350b21418f334e8204fa690021d9f1f1a025d99c5c41d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $608,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $611,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $608,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 238,077$90,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,607.89 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 101,092$62,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,676.89 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 75,150$46,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,141.58 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 36,112$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500.17 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 35,446$19,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,644.48 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 31,206$19,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,363.36 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,599.95 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 29,151$18,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,084.17 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 23,445$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.02 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 19,254$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,937.48 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 10,948$4,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,716.06 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 10,241$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,814.13 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 10,017$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.52 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 8,081$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,010.24 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 7,921$3,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,603.76 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 5,772$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.39 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.16 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 5,256$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.41 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 5,232$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.46 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.21 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 5,058$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.74 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 4,881$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.06 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 4,857$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.81 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 4,800$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 4,664$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.97 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 4,309$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.69 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 4,129$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.7 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,990$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 2,898$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.65 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 2,306$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.94 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 2,292$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.4 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,100$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,913$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.52 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 1,816$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.52 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…98babacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,776$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.58 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 1,711$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.51 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,703$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.76 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.46 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 1,448$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 1,425$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.35 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…ff81backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,370$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,358$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.83 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 1,340$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.32 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcf…63bdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 1,136$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa083…19c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,070$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,050$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,017$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.39 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…ca04backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.98 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 999.95$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.97 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 975.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 947.7$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.1 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 882.45$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.74 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 857.94$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.59 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 823.76$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.02 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd453…48bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 808.97$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 792$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.04 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 755.83$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 751.55$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.5 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 721$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.02 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 653.63$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.96 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 626.16$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.12 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 625$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.25 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 619.92$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.55 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 616.08$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.53 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 599.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.99 | 346 | 45.1%156 W · 190 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 593.88$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.41 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…dcd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 520$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 513.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.16 | 213 | 48.4%103 W · 110 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 511.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.05 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 506.07$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.64 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 180 | 67.8%122 W · 58 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 485.37$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.37 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x190e…b77bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 480$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 478.95$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.95 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 465.59$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.59 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…1ba1backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 446.44$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.79 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 442.95$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.73 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 426.79$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.79 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 408.51$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.06 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaee…447ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 405$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.