MLB · resolved market

Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11d1ca112a1df6a1040cd328ea2ecbaaedc0b37545daa6369617ebb71a2cc312

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $174,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $179,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,914 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under	49c	100,000$48,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,048.37	550	53.1%292 W · 258 L	+20.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over	51c	89,339$45,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,563.11	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	50c	39,858$19,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,928.88	411	49.1%202 W · 209 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	50c	35,555$17,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,777.5	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	49c	4,516$2,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,303.28	595	49.7%296 W · 299 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Over	51c	3,866$1,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,971.9	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under	50c	3,042$1,521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,521	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	51c	3,000$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,540	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	49c	1,836$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936.36	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over	36c	1,652$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over	51c	1,372$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.66	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	51c	1,351$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.01	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	51c	1,351$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.01	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over	51c	1,351$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.01	235	38.3%90 W · 145 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	50c	1,271$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.8	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	50c	1,212$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.01	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed Over	51c	1,098$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	137	59.1%81 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	491	58.9%289 W · 202 L	+30.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	51c	800$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	49c	747.69$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.52	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	49c	700$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under	50c	620$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	299	50.5%151 W · 148 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	52c	511.61$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.78	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	50c	500.97$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.49	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	43c	482.86$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.02	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	18c	340.19$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.37	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	37c	310.31$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.17	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	475	45.9%218 W · 257 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under	65c	296.09$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.15	507	48.7%247 W · 260 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	50c	280.28$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.14	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	61c	274.72$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.02	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over	51c	274.25$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.51	568	51.4%292 W · 276 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over	6c	264$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.62	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under	78c	246$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.63	1,075	58.3%627 W · 448 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	249	50.6%126 W · 123 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee6…fe26backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under	50c	174.16$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.08	515	55.7%287 W · 228 L	+19.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over	42c	165$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.1	404	46.5%188 W · 216 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Under	50c	160$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Under	46c	139.51$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.34	174	46%80 W · 94 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	51c	138.77$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.77	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…29ebbacked Over	51c	131.37$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cee…bd00backed Over	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+49%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Over	51c	119.61$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	314	49.4%155 W · 159 L	-9.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Over	51c	102$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.02	100	36%36 W · 64 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	49c	100.1$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.05	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c25…6bbcbacked Over	48c	99.75$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.96	197	59.9%118 W · 79 L	+21.3wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under	50c	92.85$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.43	452	46.2%209 W · 243 L	-18.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	45c	90$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.5	494	50%247 W · 247 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Over	51c	88.24$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Over	55c	88$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.4	425	50.1%213 W · 212 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over	51c	73.82$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.55	228	49.6%113 W · 115 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Under	50c	70$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	146	43.8%64 W · 82 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under	50c	62.21$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.1	271	46.9%127 W · 144 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	158	57.6%91 W · 67 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	36c	46.25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.65	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc50…7fdebacked Under	50c	43.82$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.91	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	234	55.1%129 W · 105 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	51c	39.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.39	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa687…e0e2backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…3afdbacked Over	51c	39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over	43c	32.56$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	276	46.7%129 W · 147 L	+10.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf390…bdbabacked Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Under	50c	28.82$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	243	50.6%123 W · 120 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Under	50c	27.76$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.88	267	53.9%144 W · 123 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over	51c	27.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.89	1,083	56.3%610 W · 473 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under	50c	25.72$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.86	653	59.6%389 W · 264 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7a…1f18backed Under	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under	65c	22.94$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.94	133	53.4%71 W · 62 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over	52c	22.16$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.52	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	-23.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under	50c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	252	56.7%143 W · 109 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec8…6360backed Under	50c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+77.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f0…285fbacked Under	70c	21.97$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.61	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-9.7wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	51c	20.43$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.42	704	55%387 W · 317 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f0…8722backed Over	51c	20.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.1wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1510…2402backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	352	40.3%142 W · 210 L	-23.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x982b…9c47backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9c7…4e5bbacked Over	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89ab…89acbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5this page
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia PhilliesCleveland Guardians won
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 2.5Under won
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Under won
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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