TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x982b…9c47

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Cricket at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Mary Stoianabacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$11.32
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Jaqueline Cristian vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$44.47
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Jaume Munarbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$15.28
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Camila Osorio vs Panna Udvardybacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.58
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Sloane Stephensbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+95%+$142.54
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovicbacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$103.07
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.01
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$12.74
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$20.84
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Sheltonbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.92
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+151%+$68.34
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$61.62
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Julia Grabherbacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+148.5%+$59.41
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$16.04
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$64.04
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$29.59
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.66
All 16 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Warwickshirebacked Warwickshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.49
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Derbyshirebacked Derbyshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$13.11
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Essexbacked Hampshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.08
T20 Blast: Kent vs Sussexbacked Sussex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.87
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$59.32
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$197.68
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.05
Will Pakistan win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$19.08
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+153.6%+$30.71
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$105.84
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$30.83
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$14.84
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$18.1
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $100 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.27
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$58.98
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.