Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Warwickshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d903546c24de8cdaaf9971d75c2d34c971622ef595802d6cc90fdc10b220114
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Worcestershireof Worcestershire, Warwickshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Warwickshire | 16c | 26,134$4,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,181.43 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Worcestershire | 77c | 7,392$5,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.17 | 434 | 41%178 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Warwickshire | 17c | 6,886$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.87 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Warwickshire | 14c | 4,607$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.35 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Warwickshire | 21c | 3,020$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.33 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Warwickshire | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 323 | 15.8%51 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Worcestershire | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.2 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Warwickshire | 24c | 1,351$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.87 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Warwickshire | 17c | 1,295$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.79 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…a6edbacked Warwickshire | 6c | 847.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Worcestershire | 53c | 697.74$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.28 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Warwickshire | 47c | 380.45$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.72 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Warwickshire | 14c | 331.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Warwickshire | 19c | 322.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Warwickshire | 37c | 308.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…486ebacked Warwickshire | 39c | 221.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Warwickshire | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…1c42backed Warwickshire | 22c | 198.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 113 | 6.2%7 W · 106 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…9459backed Worcestershire | 66c | 150.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Worcestershire | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Warwickshire | 19c | 139.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Worcestershire | 53c | 131.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…9c47backed Warwickshire | 31c | 129.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Worcestershire | 53c | 125.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Worcestershire | 53c | 120.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Worcestershire | 65c | 116$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Warwickshire | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Warwickshire | 47c | 110.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Warwickshire | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Warwickshire | 48c | 92.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Worcestershire | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Warwickshire | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…70d9backed Warwickshire | 19c | 89.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Worcestershire | 63c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Worcestershire | 52c | 78.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Worcestershire | 68c | 71.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Worcestershire | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Worcestershire | 79c | 60.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Warwickshire | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Warwickshire | 35c | 57.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2112…34dcbacked Worcestershire | 77c | 53.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Warwickshire | 39c | 50.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Warwickshire | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf618…ba85backed Worcestershire | 74c | 39.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…985bbacked Warwickshire | 31c | 39.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Worcestershire | 72c | 38.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Worcestershire | 53c | 36.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Worcestershire | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41d…8797backed Warwickshire | 47c | 23.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…723dbacked Worcestershire | 75c | 23.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Worcestershire | 52c | 21.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58a…5448backed Worcestershire | 66c | 20.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a3…e274backed Worcestershire | 67c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec6…4082backed Worcestershire | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.