MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68fc168a06d88a2e920991ba04a217088da0a04ecadc01316dcd4ca4dbeeec08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $604,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 88,888$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,888.35 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 55,011$32,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,095.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 48,393$29,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,519.87 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 23,833$8,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,905.39 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 23,234$11,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,720 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 14,098$5,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,514.62 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 12,500$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,625 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 11,616$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.02 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 10,366$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.37 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 9,000$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 8,715$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,490.31 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 8,376$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,192.88 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 7,947$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.22 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 7,150$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.05 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 6,893$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.54 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 6,669$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.13 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 5,214$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253.88 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 5,088$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.57 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 4,877$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.06 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 4,832$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.34 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 3,824$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.06 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Washington Nationals | 77c | 3,761$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.04 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 3,244$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 2,505$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 2,306$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.67 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 2,265$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.33 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 72c | 2,199$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.17 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Atlanta Braves | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 1,977$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 1,971$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.18 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9622…6fefbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 1,800$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,749$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.65 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Atlanta Braves | 14c | 1,727$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.84 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,705$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.05 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 1,704$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.79 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 1,632$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 1,562$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.68 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked Atlanta Braves | 30c | 1,533$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…4d3fbacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 1,458$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.26 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 1,442$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,417$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.48 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 1,358$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.73 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 1,336$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.7 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 1,314$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.92 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,274$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.27 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…2f88backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 1,245$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,188$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.44 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 1,171$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.26 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 1,150$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8133…3109backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,054$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 1,043$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.77 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Atlanta Braves | 26c | 1,038$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 1,022$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.42 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.06 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 999.78$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.25 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 993.98$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.81 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…c99cbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 977.99$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Atlanta Braves | 29c | 949.77$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Washington Nationals | 78c | 837.59$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.03 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 828.48$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 818$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.86 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 813.51$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.45 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 807.02$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 803.56$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.14 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…9f30backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 723.67$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +122%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 717.77$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.41 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 707.69$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.2 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 700$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 700$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 700$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Atlanta Braves | 25c | 693.12$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 623.75$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021d…6502backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 611.55$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Washington Nationals | 80c | 600.11$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…5721backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 570.78$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…2134backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 549.53$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.7 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 544.06$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.04 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 540$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 515.81$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…f31cbacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 514.98$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 500$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 499.9$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.94 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…7092backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 489.26$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 485.71$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 478.41$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…a0a6backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 458.66$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…ff47backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 458.66$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.