TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Atlanta Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$493,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$604,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals40c88,888$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,888.351,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves58c55,011$32,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,095.610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dab…22e1backed Atlanta Braves61c48,393$29,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,519.871637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Washington Nationals37c23,833$8,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,905.3914943.6%65 W · 84 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Atlanta Braves50c23,234$11,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,72014042.9%60 W · 80 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Washington Nationals40c14,098$5,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,514.6217248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Washington Nationals39c12,500$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,62512457.3%71 W · 53 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves63c11,616$7,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,318.021,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals37c10,366$3,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,499.371,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves63c9,000$5,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6255,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals37c8,715$3,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,490.312,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals38c8,376$3,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,192.881,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals56c7,947$4,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,502.2243554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Atlanta Braves30c7,150$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.0513534.1%46 W · 89 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves63c6,893$4,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,315.5444851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Atlanta Braves60c6,669$4,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,001.131,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves62c5,214$3,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,253.882,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Washington Nationals36c5,088$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253.577338.4%28 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Atlanta Braves61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0509560%57 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves46c4,877$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.062,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Washington Nationals71c4,832$3,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.3414152.5%74 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals51c3,824$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.062,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Washington Nationals77c3,761$2,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.043243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-30%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Atlanta Braves50c3,244$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6228353%44 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed Atlanta Braves62c2,505$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.971947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals49c2,306$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.6711,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves41c2,265$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.338,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals72c2,199$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.175,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Atlanta Braves62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24014647.3%69 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Atlanta Braves26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52025240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Atlanta Braves39c1,977$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7786653%35 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Atlanta Braves40c1,971$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.1879147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9622…6fefbacked Atlanta Braves63c1,800$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals48c1,749$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.654,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Atlanta Braves14c1,727$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.847010%7 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-56.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Washington Nationals39c1,705$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.0575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Atlanta Braves62c1,704$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.7949158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves62c1,632$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.876,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Atlanta Braves64c1,562$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.6823152.8%122 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Atlanta Braves30c1,533$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4012…4d3fbacked Atlanta Braves33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49560%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Atlanta Braves63c1,458$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.261,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Atlanta Braves33c1,442$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.252454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Washington Nationals40c1,417$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.481,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Washington Nationals68c1,358$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.7353261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0078…0690backed Atlanta Braves39c1,336$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.75038%19 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals36c1,314$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.9269453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves57c1,274$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.273,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1b…2f88backed Atlanta Braves63c1,245$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Nationals37c1,200$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75686653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals37c1,188$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.442,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed Washington Nationals68c1,171$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.2618652.7%98 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Atlanta Braves62c1,150$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7139262%57 W · 35 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8133…3109backed Atlanta Braves45c1,054$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.992142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Atlanta Braves39c1,043$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.7714142.6%60 W · 81 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Atlanta Braves26c1,038$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27012441.1%51 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Atlanta Braves61c1,022$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.421,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Atlanta Braves62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.0616248.8%79 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Atlanta Braves63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63066050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Atlanta Braves62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed Atlanta Braves62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e3e…ea35backed Atlanta Braves62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Washington Nationals39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6106741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals45c999.78$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.251,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals61c993.98$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.8198149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4702…c99cbacked Atlanta Braves63c977.99$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Atlanta Braves29c949.77$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.81,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Washington Nationals78c837.59$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0371750.1%359 W · 358 L-1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves53c828.48$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.019,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c67…1075backed Atlanta Braves69c818$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.865172.5%37 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals58c813.51$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.451,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Atlanta Braves57c807.02$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Atlanta Braves60c803.56$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.144841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c39…9f30backed Washington Nationals37c723.67$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.914100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+122%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Atlanta Braves37c717.77$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4146239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Atlanta Braves50c707.69$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.234045%153 W · 187 L+1.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Atlanta Braves64c700$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44885952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Atlanta Braves64c700$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44825249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Atlanta Braves63c700$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44111948.7%58 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Atlanta Braves25c693.12$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.283,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Washington Nationals68c623.75$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.660350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021d…6502backed Washington Nationals37c611.55$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Washington Nationals80c600.11$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.447569.3%52 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb620…5721backed Washington Nationals37c570.78$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.59520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc17d…2134backed Atlanta Braves64c549.53$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.74158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Washington Nationals41c544.06$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.0450748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals38c540$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.21,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Atlanta Braves57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Atlanta Braves41c515.81$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.41,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb831…f31cbacked Atlanta Braves36c514.98$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.951154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Atlanta Braves62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0167…d002backed Washington Nationals37c500$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31638145.4%173 W · 208 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Washington Nationals36c499.9$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9417446%80 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010351.5%53 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fb…7092backed Atlanta Braves43c489.26$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Atlanta Braves42c485.71$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046060%36 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals68c478.41$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.472,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Washington Nationals42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1934550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x736f…a0a6backed Washington Nationals37c458.66$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd559…ff47backed Washington Nationals37c458.66$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.