TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$908,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,205,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $908,179 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Virtus.pro34c360,485$121,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,599.0328748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Tundra Esports67c124,973$83,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,240.9316147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports68c50,096$34,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,096.351,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Tundra Esports66c22,222$14,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,555.4822644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports70c20,801$14,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,322.42,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Tundra Esports66c15,000$9,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,05029042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Virtus.pro33c14,419$4,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,742.8356955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Virtus.pro34c14,339$4,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,849.2136248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports67c13,495$9,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,487.0869644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Virtus.pro29c12,000$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,48010641.5%44 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Tundra Esports67c11,623$7,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,835.5441056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda6…84c5backed Tundra Esports67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3001020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-57.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports65c9,992$6,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,472.5296557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports67c9,881$6,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,292.011,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed Virtus.pro0c9,226$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8142639.4%168 W · 258 L-39.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tundra Esports60c8,835$5,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,491.0896645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports67c8,623$5,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,865.641,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports66c8,148$5,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.2848954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Tundra Esports66c7,158$4,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.7117651.1%90 W · 86 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro33c6,750$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.580256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Tundra Esports71c5,875$4,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.856548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed Virtus.pro33c5,764$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8781631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports70c5,723$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.921,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports68c5,013$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.6868649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Tundra Esports63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85027143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8be…3d54backed Virtus.pro40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009951.5%51 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro20c4,927$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.7850832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Tundra Esports67c4,730$3,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.930336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports77c4,691$3,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.634468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Tundra Esports66c4,681$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.6439343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tundra Esports66c4,251$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.391,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports67c3,737$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.241,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2495…28f5backed Tundra Esports80c3,524$2,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.569161.5%56 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports66c3,500$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19060349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c2b…c65bbacked Tundra Esports68c3,465$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.781136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports67c3,332$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.6589749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Tundra Esports73c3,300$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.2792056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Virtus.pro27c3,247$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.337243.1%31 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports67c3,173$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.471,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Virtus.pro34c3,145$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06913851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Tundra Esports59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23089741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Tundra Esports66c3,000$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.9441944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Tundra Esports73c2,750$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.59153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Tundra Esports66c2,672$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.513442.5%57 W · 77 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Tundra Esports69c2,601$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.535062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Tundra Esports66c2,593$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.7813854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Tundra Esports67c2,494$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.0232652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Tundra Esports68c2,417$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.4443049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Virtus.pro41c2,375$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.3551049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Virtus.pro33c2,357$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.2935151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports67c2,199$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.9485851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc156…f76cbacked Virtus.pro20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016547.9%79 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66079959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Tundra Esports64c1,970$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.081,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Virtus.pro33c1,855$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.2541351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Virtus.pro28c1,692$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.451,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Tundra Esports71c1,682$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.9526956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Tundra Esports77c1,643$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.2147046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ee…a621backed Virtus.pro22c1,633$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.81650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Virtus.pro27c1,631$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.556542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Virtus.pro37c1,623$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60061745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Tundra Esports60c1,601$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.0540051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Tundra Esports74c1,511$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.3922853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Tundra Esports68c1,505$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.8231547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Tundra Esports73c1,500$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.9725752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Tundra Esports66c1,492$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.4131248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro31c1,478$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.641,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Virtus.pro3c1,473$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.269835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Tundra Esports60c1,390$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55652046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Tundra Esports63c1,287$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.4335758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Virtus.pro38c1,166$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.0853764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Tundra Esports63c1,154$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.8641655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Tundra Esports66c1,116$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.11,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked Tundra Esports68c1,079$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.5623555.7%131 W · 104 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3304…8313backed Tundra Esports67c1,073$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.158050%40 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports60c1,055$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.0399844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports69c1,046$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.852,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Tundra Esports62c1,043$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.9850347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Tundra Esports66c1,037$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.724652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Virtus.pro34c1,012$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.5839550.1%198 W · 197 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Virtus.pro30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30065441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Tundra Esports71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29065863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports67c976.99$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.4155751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed Virtus.pro34c932.27$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.5310751.4%55 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Tundra Esports70c929.33$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.751544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports68c926.77$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.772,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Tundra Esports67c867.01$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.1179859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Tundra Esports67c856.75$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.1616242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce0…72c1backed Virtus.pro36c825.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Virtus.pro33c803.94$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8861456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Tundra Esports68c759.99$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.254542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5999…bdbebacked Virtus.pro34c733.78$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.395560%33 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc153…6767backed Virtus.pro3c714.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.32437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Tundra Esports70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2955561.8%343 W · 212 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Virtus.pro30c685.96$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7949455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Tundra Esports67c685.7$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.2886659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed Virtus.pro31c632.16$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.975850%29 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Tundra Esports66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0612065.8%79 W · 41 L+15.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Tundra Esports66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0619849%97 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.