Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c89dce9fc4ef94b3b8bf44ccafc16edde3094bb6282e7ba3e533828ba841808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $702,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $743,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $702,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 506 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 42,164$29,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,649.28 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 40,486$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,485.71 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 39,762$18,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,734.42 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 29,223$6,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,865.29 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 28,260$8,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,477.86 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 23,014$10,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,553.64 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 20,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 14,290$9,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,465.01 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 13,390$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.62 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 12,877$6,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,309.02 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 11,338$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 10,654$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.57 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 10,135$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.8 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 10,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 7,604$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…c65bbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 7,035$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 7,012$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.99 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 6,894$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.42 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 6,556$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.48 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Tundra Esports | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 5,668$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.13 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 5,495$4,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 4,998$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.57 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 4,853$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.3 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 4,487$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.3 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 4,017$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 3,796$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.72 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 3,706$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.31 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 3,553$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.09 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 3,500$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 3,268$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 3,216$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.2 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 3,200$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.56 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 3,134$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.91 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 3,116$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.58 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 3,031$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.5 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 2,831$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.85 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 2,712$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.88 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 2,652$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.92 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…6ba2backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 2,377$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 2,131$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.85 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 2,030$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.48 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 2,001$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.26 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 2,000$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.99 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…c5dbbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 1,973$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 1,938$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.97 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,848$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.09 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 1,799$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.03 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 1,755$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.95 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,750$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.49 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 1,714$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.46 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,693$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.73 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 1,653$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.84 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 1,613$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.64 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,600$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.38 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 1,550$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.5 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,543$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.72 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,465$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 1,464$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 1,460$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.48 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 1,433$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.63 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 1,420$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.3 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,419$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.74 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,409$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.7 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,400$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.1 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…b74abacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,400$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,391$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.39 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 1,387$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,323$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.83 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,315$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.67 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,300$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 1,285$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.21 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 1,214$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.32 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,209$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.59 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 1,208$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.79 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,143$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.68 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa90a…63e0backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 1,125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 1,100$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.95 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 1,083$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.94 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 1,080$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.89 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…faedbacked Virtus.pro | 2c | 1,077$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,064$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…5208backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 999.99$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.72 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.