Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1521b2a5718abcfd7b691509a422735b7d3416e2381687c7cceb314e8918cc18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Tundra Esports, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $464,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $550,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 50,811$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Tundra Esports | 28c | 24,370$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 21,067$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,168.4 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 17,143$9,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000.64 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 11,963$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,493.66 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 11,051$4,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,140.14 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 10,289$4,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,526.23 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 7,952$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,906.25 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 7,804$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,374.23 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 5,734$4,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.01 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 5,000$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.39 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 4,252$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.47 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tundra Esports | 30c | 3,792$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.61 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 3,511$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.15 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 3,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.66 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 3,481$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.77 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 3,298$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.26 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 3,250$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.15 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 3,212$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.08 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 3,086$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.26 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 2,924$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.51 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 2,834$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.81 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 2,813$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.5 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 2,812$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.21 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 2,761$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.3 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 2,743$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.76 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 2,656$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.33 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 2,630$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.54 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 2,624$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.71 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 2,610$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.93 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Tundra Esports | 28c | 2,514$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.65 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 2,449$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.83 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 2,366$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.11 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 2,316$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.93 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 2,074$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.87 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 2,014$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.82 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 2,000$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.49 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,876$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.72 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 1,837$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.43 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,750$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.37 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,720$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.67 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,693$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.12 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Tundra Esports | 20c | 1,637$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.21 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,594$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.3 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,513$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,492$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.56 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,469$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.05 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,396$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.03 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 1,366$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.91 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,360$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.2 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,305$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.48 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 1,289$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.08 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,235$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.45 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 1,224$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.55 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 1,212$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,187$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.67 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,165$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.72 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 1,160$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.38 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Tundra Esports | 16c | 1,136$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 1,108$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.91 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,027$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.81 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,011$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.28 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Tundra Esports | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…c65bbacked Tundra Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 979.93$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 969.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.86 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 916.56$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.8 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 908.87$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 893.42$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.94 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 804$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.51 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 750$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…a66ebacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Tundra Esports | 17c | 693.54$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 687.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.59 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 687.26$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.42 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 650.09$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.14 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 638.33$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.04 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Tundra Esports | 23c | 560.88$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 559.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 554.61$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.67 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Tundra Esports | 13c | 550$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 537$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 527.62$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.86 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 524$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.46 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 515.82$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.23 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Tundra Esports | 24c | 512.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.