TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Virtus.pro, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro34c16,866$5,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,709.681,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Virtus.pro38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80010751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro12c9,038$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.750832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid63c7,081$4,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.3896557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid62c5,017$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.121,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44041944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid65c3,949$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.241,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro43c3,750$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.7680256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid64c3,533$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.291,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Virtus.pro37c3,140$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.7919847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid74c3,056$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.672,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Virtus.pro39c2,214$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.7724251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Virtus.pro32c1,909$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.8837945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid63c1,451$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.041,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed Team Liquid62c1,419$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.3721264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid75c1,381$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.292,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team Liquid63c1,329$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.3254753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96e4…bb22backed Team Liquid80c1,314$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.755100%5 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid64c1,244$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.251,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Liquid75c1,059$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.431,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Virtus.pro12c1,058$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9250053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Liquid64c1,005$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.717146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36060349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Virtus.pro31c999.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31065441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Virtus.pro24c999.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24043738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid67c956.74$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9245750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed Team Liquid71c881.47$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.732751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Virtus.pro3c850$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro31c839.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.488539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid76c815.59$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.741,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Virtus.pro36c800$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Virtus.pro38c776.7$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.1525248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Virtus.pro38c750$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28558744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeefb…115abacked Virtus.pro37c700$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2591127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-55.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Liquid64c696.46$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0656548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Virtus.pro38c599.97$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9949455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro16c589.91$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9344149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Virtus.pro42c588.76$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8861456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid70c545$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8589749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Team Liquid62c530$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.450749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid76c528$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.521,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid67c500.01$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.541,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18080544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Liquid63c499.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9939550.1%198 W · 197 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Liquid65c490.86$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.851,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Team Liquid62c477.69$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5230041.3%124 W · 176 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Liquid62c441.4$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7386659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid74c431.69$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.341,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Virtus.pro39c424.56$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5858356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid66c400$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13868649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Team Liquid65c383.45$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2122363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid65c375.65$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1396645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f07…53d1backed Virtus.pro30c336.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021739.2%85 W · 132 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Virtus.pro38c332$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1635951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Team Liquid66c317.96$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1125851.2%132 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f75…ebc7backed Virtus.pro22c307.55$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.661136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Liquid80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6020145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Virtus.pro37c273$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0120452.5%107 W · 97 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e6…eca0backed Team Liquid60c268.75$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.55461.1%33 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Team Liquid65c264.87$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9716242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Team Liquid77c257.82$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.313142.7%56 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2fe…695dbacked Virtus.pro39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017349.1%85 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Liquid75c254.76$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.961,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro32c249.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8046535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid62c240$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.261548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid75c207$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7580443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Team Liquid79c200.13$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0829466%194 W · 100 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Team Liquid72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5696245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Liquid71c170.38$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7753139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Team Liquid62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2937252.7%196 W · 176 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.688166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Virtus.pro38c160$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.858250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c97…c97abacked Virtus.pro7c158.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed Virtus.pro40c153.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08ce…b717backed Team Liquid76c151.68$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.44459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro22c150.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7737223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x70cb…5691backed Virtus.pro7c145$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…7fb5backed Virtus.pro36c137.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.969444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce0…72c1backed Virtus.pro38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid68c126$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.891,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed Team Liquid71c121$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0912548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid63c119.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0765647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Liquid64c117.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.861,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Liquid68c114.25$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.766848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90a…f6b5backed Team Liquid69c111.13$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Virtus.pro34c103.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0457735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Liquid64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3626846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Team Liquid62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3865863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1863…6174backed Team Liquid62c89.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1930460.2%183 W · 121 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed Team Liquid62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6524131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid63c78.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.022,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Team Liquid62c78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2968345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked Virtus.pro39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030255.3%167 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Liquid70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4341864.1%268 W · 150 L+17.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid61c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.741,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Team Liquid73c60.35$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2910735.5%38 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7387…6345backed Team Liquid75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1517955.3%99 W · 80 L+0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Team Liquid66c53.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0446451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed Team Liquid76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6322961.1%140 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaec6…3b01backed Virtus.pro39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.