TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3f75…ebc7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Inaki Montesbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+223.8%+$97.01
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.16
Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Navabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.78
Internazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Bucsa/Melichar vs Siniakova/Townsendbacked Bucsa/Melichar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+103%+$46.27
Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Dali Blanchbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.37
Zagreb: Zsombor Piros vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.86
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$130.25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$58.9
Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.17
Parma: Susan Bandecchi vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$59.79
Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.72
Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Zizou Bergsbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.53
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.81
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$92.15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$83.52
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winnerbacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.62
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC - Game 1 Winnerbacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.61
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$89.76
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.6
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$161.73
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.47
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+256.7%+$153.26
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.66
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.83
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$37.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$199
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.