Tennis · resolved market
Zagreb: Zsombor Piros vs Lukas Neumayer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c434e3ed3f4e6d3699aedc26e98d2c7805ab0143593256e9402cf5ad18a0f17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zsombor Pirosof Zsombor Piros, Lukas Neumayer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bb2…732ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lukas Neumayer | 34c | 1,277$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.42 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 33c | 841.05$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.82 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Lukas Neumayer | 35c | 713.72$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.4 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Zsombor Piros | 65c | 644.86$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.16 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eac…6c20backed Zsombor Piros | 67c | 637.31$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Lukas Neumayer | 19c | 627.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Zsombor Piros | 67c | 581.61$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Zsombor Piros | 64c | 551.93$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.78 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Zsombor Piros | 65c | 512.56$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zsombor Piros | 60c | 480.6$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 46c | 426.32$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.97 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Zsombor Piros | 66c | 363.92$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.73 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Lukas Neumayer | 35c | 325.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Lukas Neumayer | 56c | 323.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.16 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Zsombor Piros | 63c | 322.12$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.18 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Lukas Neumayer | 42c | 312.07$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.07 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lukas Neumayer | 7c | 306.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…c4eebacked Lukas Neumayer | 45c | 296.71$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Lukas Neumayer | 35c | 283.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Lukas Neumayer | 36c | 278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Lukas Neumayer | 32c | 247.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Lukas Neumayer | 36c | 229.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…f6bdbacked Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 211.83$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.47 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lukas Neumayer | 36c | 200.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zsombor Piros | 59c | 194.82$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lukas Neumayer | 24c | 175.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Lukas Neumayer | 32c | 173.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Zsombor Piros | 70c | 157.85$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Zsombor Piros | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Zsombor Piros | 28c | 140.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…fb18backed Zsombor Piros | 67c | 129.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Lukas Neumayer | 35c | 127.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ebc7backed Lukas Neumayer | 32c | 125.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Lukas Neumayer | 37c | 100.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Zsombor Piros | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Zsombor Piros | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Zsombor Piros | 66c | 98.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 96.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Zsombor Piros | 25c | 94.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Zsombor Piros | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zsombor Piros | 49c | 91.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Zsombor Piros | 50c | 89.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Lukas Neumayer | 29c | 89.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Zsombor Piros | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Zsombor Piros | 72c | 83.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Zsombor Piros | 66c | 79.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zsombor Piros | 48c | 74.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Zsombor Piros | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 71.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Zsombor Piros | 73c | 64.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Lukas Neumayer | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…fc7ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 53c | 59.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 27c | 59.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Lukas Neumayer | 34c | 55.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Zsombor Piros | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Lukas Neumayer | 31c | 40.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Lukas Neumayer | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…e940backed Zsombor Piros | 67c | 37.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Zsombor Piros | 39c | 36.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Zsombor Piros | 36c | 34.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Zsombor Piros | 49c | 33.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Zsombor Piros | 65c | 32.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked Zsombor Piros | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Lukas Neumayer | 34c | 29.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Lukas Neumayer | 34c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Zsombor Piros | 70c | 26.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Zsombor Piros | 49c | 25.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Zsombor Piros | 65c | 22.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Zsombor Piros | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Zsombor Piros | 63c | 22.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad2…f434backed Zsombor Piros | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Zsombor Piros | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Lukas Neumayer | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.