TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, ex-HEROIC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming51c32,325$16,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,929.451,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked ex-HEROIC52c10,750$5,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,585.8780256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed ex-HEROIC50c9,843$4,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,911.9722848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked ex-HEROIC32c8,762$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.371,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Vici Gaming46c8,702$3,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,717.91,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming51c7,734$3,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,820.321,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked ex-HEROIC45c4,368$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.6413558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Vici Gaming49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04041944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked ex-HEROIC31c3,799$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.1827143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked ex-HEROIC37c3,248$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.5889741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked ex-HEROIC56c3,105$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.7710751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Vici Gaming53c2,815$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.6435062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed ex-HEROIC46c2,172$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.4453764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed ex-HEROIC64c2,082$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.8354753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed ex-HEROIC43c1,926$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.3848954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked ex-HEROIC54c1,762$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.5761456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked ex-HEROIC44c1,750$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed ex-HEROIC5c1,729$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.556132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed ex-HEROIC53c1,545$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.6158744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed ex-HEROIC1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15350%0 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked ex-HEROIC1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012217.2%21 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Vici Gaming49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76531248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed ex-HEROIC45c1,452$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.5521264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked ex-HEROIC48c1,350$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.181,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Vici Gaming52c1,325$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.260552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed ex-HEROIC45c1,323$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60043344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed ex-HEROIC68c1,297$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.3954246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb665…ed24backed ex-HEROIC34c1,283$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.28540%34 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Vici Gaming55c1,264$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.4615338.6%59 W · 94 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked ex-HEROIC50c1,220$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61037945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed ex-HEROIC51c1,181$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.4110546.7%49 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed ex-HEROIC22c1,147$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25057449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed ex-HEROIC26c1,140$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Vici Gaming44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3661745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vici Gaming67c1,113$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.996645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Vici Gaming58c1,099$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.581,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Vici Gaming64c1,042$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.6730356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming62c1,040$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.252,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed ex-HEROIC1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked ex-HEROIC32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed ex-HEROIC1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101040%0 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked ex-HEROIC32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.1592056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Vici Gaming65c973.6$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9645750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Vici Gaming68c966.45$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.0854058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Vici Gaming65c794.8$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.731,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked ex-HEROIC50c790.93$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.0179859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked ex-HEROIC16c768.84$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1969033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Vici Gaming55c740$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33325935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed ex-HEROIC49c694.67$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4113456%75 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed ex-HEROIC45c662.83$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.2769644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Vici Gaming38c627.1$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.8847650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed ex-HEROIC43c617.36$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5142053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Vici Gaming73c609.35$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9477458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Vici Gaming60c539.92$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.7134468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed ex-HEROIC15c535.32$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8935430.5%108 W · 246 L-27.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ex-HEROIC43c530.05$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.971,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked ex-HEROIC49c528.89$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.571,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked ex-HEROIC8c508.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8535032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2591…b7c1backed ex-HEROIC32c500$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15811244.6%50 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed ex-HEROIC46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed ex-HEROIC46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23029143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming58c484.22$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.831,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Vici Gaming52c453.99$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0153139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Vici Gaming49c433.09$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.289938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43dc…86e1backed ex-HEROIC46c432.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024244.6%108 W · 134 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed ex-HEROIC57c427.25$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.8230356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vici Gaming58c426.09$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.841,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce47…4032backed ex-HEROIC20c421.3$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0970%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed ex-HEROIC24c421$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.478540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe175…7d48backed Vici Gaming55c399.98$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.595846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed ex-HEROIC51c397.09$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9116242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed ex-HEROIC51c385.55$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1988035%28 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa157…8641backed ex-HEROIC64c371.02$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.456131.1%19 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed ex-HEROIC47c360.84$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5972035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc9c…b01cbacked ex-HEROIC35c359.5$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.287034.3%24 W · 46 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming58c333.92$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.491,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed ex-HEROIC21c331.57$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3865337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd0…c747backed Vici Gaming53c319.41$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.636167.2%41 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed ex-HEROIC26c313.93$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1927636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3c1…8174backed ex-HEROIC63c310.95$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.924947.8%119 W · 130 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da4…803ebacked ex-HEROIC58c301.77$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Vici Gaming35c290$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.537047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-HEROIC49c284.74$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.132,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Vici Gaming46c279.68$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0344645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ex-HEROIC52c277.43$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.061,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-HEROIC15c265.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0140534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed ex-HEROIC9c265$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.924527.3%67 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vici Gaming55c263$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7689749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Vici Gaming56c258.33$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5268649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Vici Gaming50c251.72$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8658356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Vici Gaming46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9565863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked Vici Gaming55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.55468.5%37 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f75…ebc7backed ex-HEROIC41c249.22$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.611136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-HEROIC49c246.86$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1869132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Vici Gaming50c230.07$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0458250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2787645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Vici Gaming45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2296245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-HEROIC42c211.25$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.141,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-HEROIC42c211$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.821,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.