Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07534cef2355246a2105827d087193ae9edcfc371b4dddc4b3fbd81de941a451
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, ex-HEROIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 35,564$19,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,463.71 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed ex-HEROIC | 45c | 8,888$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.59 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked ex-HEROIC | 47c | 6,528$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.8 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked ex-HEROIC | 47c | 6,490$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.1 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed ex-HEROIC | 47c | 6,052$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.3 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked ex-HEROIC | 44c | 4,645$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed ex-HEROIC | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed ex-HEROIC | 12c | 2,887$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked ex-HEROIC | 46c | 2,283$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.55 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 1,452$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.05 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed ex-HEROIC | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 1,055$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.55 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ex-HEROIC | 48c | 1,053$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.78 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed ex-HEROIC | 45c | 944$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.8 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 639.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…803ebacked ex-HEROIC | 39c | 458.4$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked ex-HEROIC | 39c | 450$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vici Gaming | 60c | 415.72$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 382.23$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.54 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 362.68$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vici Gaming | 62c | 344.18$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-HEROIC | 36c | 341.68$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.89 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-HEROIC | 25c | 277.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 270$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 255.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed ex-HEROIC | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 233.61$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed ex-HEROIC | 50c | 202$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed ex-HEROIC | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vici Gaming | 66c | 178.66$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ebc7backed ex-HEROIC | 33c | 151.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed ex-HEROIC | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked ex-HEROIC | 47c | 139.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ex-HEROIC | 48c | 135.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed ex-HEROIC | 45c | 130$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked ex-HEROIC | 46c | 126.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 103.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-HEROIC | 44c | 103.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-HEROIC | 46c | 102.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Vici Gaming | 63c | 102$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-HEROIC | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked ex-HEROIC | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Vici Gaming | 63c | 95.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…1fc4backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 85.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked ex-HEROIC | 25c | 74.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed ex-HEROIC | 40c | 68.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked ex-HEROIC | 41c | 62.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ex-HEROIC | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ex-HEROIC | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-HEROIC | 44c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked ex-HEROIC | 22c | 55.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…3f1bbacked ex-HEROIC | 45c | 31.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 21.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…b63abacked Vici Gaming | 68c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group AVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.