TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, ex-HEROIC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,064 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming56c10,792$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,792.221,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed ex-HEROIC44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20026540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Vici Gaming55c4,018$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.325259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Vici Gaming51c2,335$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.343351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked ex-HEROIC45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed ex-HEROIC47c2,100$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99312351.2%63 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed ex-HEROIC44c1,787$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.4681029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed ex-HEROIC47c1,657$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.6944645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed ex-HEROIC50c1,393$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70037549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked ex-HEROIC50c1,057$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.5810751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ex-HEROIC32c1,010$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.21,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed ex-HEROIC47c1,000$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46529143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed ex-HEROIC22c928.93$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3664744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked ex-HEROIC32c925.85$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.737223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe2b7…500fbacked Vici Gaming54c652.66$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.222737%10 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked ex-HEROIC48c650$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31250347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ex-HEROIC25c590$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.371,11336.2%403 W · 710 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked ex-HEROIC49c505$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4510766.4%71 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed ex-HEROIC45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510048%48 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed ex-HEROIC49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24523347.2%110 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc20f…ab16backed ex-HEROIC48c499.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Vici Gaming56c496.38$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.461249.7%304 W · 308 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed ex-HEROIC46c433.03$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3480544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed ex-HEROIC50c418$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9629466%194 W · 100 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Vici Gaming52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Vici Gaming53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.366031.7%19 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf479…2d49backed Vici Gaming53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-HEROIC48c366.7$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2496645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked ex-HEROIC42c359.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8110618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Vici Gaming53c339.62$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.627657.9%44 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Vici Gaming60c320.78$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.316758.2%39 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed ex-HEROIC45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1358540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Vici Gaming52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.464553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Vici Gaming52c267.08$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.21637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5147…f078backed ex-HEROIC52c252$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.043046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked ex-HEROIC48c238.6$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.338649.5%191 W · 195 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed ex-HEROIC42c238.43$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.298918%16 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-HEROIC42c238$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c23…2f97backed Vici Gaming52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed Vici Gaming52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.771154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed ex-HEROIC46c228.28$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5233445.2%151 W · 183 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x341c…f86fbacked ex-HEROIC46c228.26$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed ex-HEROIC42c227$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1723342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Vici Gaming66c211.01$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8512054.2%65 W · 55 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da4…803ebacked Vici Gaming55c210$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-HEROIC46c202.3$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.331,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vici Gaming80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Vici Gaming50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016641.6%69 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Vici Gaming52c194.17$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.214154.6%77 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Vici Gaming52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd10f…bef4backed Vici Gaming52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Vici Gaming53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Vici Gaming54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1957735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-HEROIC45c183.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.071,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed ex-HEROIC46c179.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.218544.9%83 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ex-HEROIC41c176.03$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.792,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed ex-HEROIC45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7555457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked ex-HEROIC48c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.255550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed ex-HEROIC48c131.81$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9212536%45 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-HEROIC42c116.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.912,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Vici Gaming58c114.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.325855%142 W · 116 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Vici Gaming53c110$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.740844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed ex-HEROIC28c106.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.393033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked ex-HEROIC40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed ex-HEROIC51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519055.6%50 W · 40 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Vici Gaming49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5110560%63 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked ex-HEROIC46c98.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.421253.8%114 W · 98 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Vici Gaming56c97.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9951550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Vici Gaming52c95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.626846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ex-HEROIC37c94.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.911,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45ef…6d66backed Vici Gaming54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ex-HEROIC44c84.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.331,25549.6%623 W · 632 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed ex-HEROIC48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011444.7%51 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe31d…e7a4backed Vici Gaming52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.922050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed ex-HEROIC43c72.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3125238.9%98 W · 154 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a53…71a3backed Vici Gaming47c72.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6618262.6%114 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Vici Gaming53c67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4915250%76 W · 76 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0d…40cabacked Vici Gaming75c65.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.055976.3%45 W · 14 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d77…b6f4backed Vici Gaming49c61.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.562343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Vici Gaming49c59.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.598056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked ex-HEROIC32c57.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2821742.9%93 W · 124 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Vici Gaming52c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.367851.3%40 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-HEROIC30c50.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3640534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Vici Gaming56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2214547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed ex-HEROIC45c48.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8750353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked ex-HEROIC45c47.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.354358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked ex-HEROIC45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ed…041bbacked ex-HEROIC48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205930.5%18 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Vici Gaming72c38.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8926958.7%158 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked Vici Gaming52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25d6…2998backed Vici Gaming53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked Vici Gaming56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7136761%224 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Vici Gaming71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.216165.6%40 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Vici Gaming53c34.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2671142.6%303 W · 408 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed ex-HEROIC31c33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2335430.5%108 W · 246 L-27.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked ex-HEROIC31c33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2369033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked ex-HEROIC61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037441.2%154 W · 220 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed ex-HEROIC47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.115465.6%101 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed ex-HEROIC50c27.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4414652.1%76 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Vici Gaming50c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.510728%30 W · 77 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.